<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[(De)Coding the Future]]></title><description><![CDATA[AI agents optimize for one scalar: money. I study how to give them more dimensions.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l9BK!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F727f837a-7fd9-4ada-93bb-b05d4cd60a11_864x864.png</url><title>(De)Coding the Future</title><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 21:22:04 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.dariorodrigues.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[dariorodrigues@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[dariorodrigues@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[dariorodrigues@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[dariorodrigues@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Mythos: o que ficou por dizer]]></title><description><![CDATA[Estive no programa &#8220;Perce&#231;&#245;es e Realidades&#8221;, no canal NOW, a falar sobre o Claude Mythos Preview, um modelo de IA que est&#225; a levantar muitas preocupa&#231;&#245;es.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/mythos-o-que-ficou-por-dizer</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/mythos-o-que-ficou-por-dizer</guid><pubDate>Wed, 15 Apr 2026 14:01:06 GMT</pubDate><enclosure 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y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>Come&#231;o por uma chamada de aten&#231;&#227;o que devo ao rigor.</p><p>Em televis&#227;o, usei a analogia da &#8220;chave-mestra&#8221; para tornar o tema mais acess&#237;vel. Mas essa analogia tem limites, como todas t&#234;m, e este artigo &#233; o espa&#231;o para a precis&#227;o que a televis&#227;o n&#227;o permite.<br><br>A Anthropic documentou que o Mythos identificou vulnerabilidades nas bibliotecas criptogr&#225;ficas mais usadas do mundo, incluindo implementa&#231;&#245;es de TLS, AES-GCM e SSH. Isto n&#227;o &#233; quebrar a matem&#225;tica; &#233; encontrar erros na forma como a matem&#225;tica foi implementada em c&#243;digo. A diferen&#231;a &#233; crucial, mas o resultado pr&#225;tico pode ser igualmente devastador: se a implementa&#231;&#227;o apresenta um<em> bug</em>, a encripta&#231;&#227;o falha mesmo que o algoritmo seja perfeito. E &#224; medida que estes modelos progridem no racioc&#237;nio matem&#225;tico, a possibilidade de virem a comprometer os pr&#243;prios fundamentos da criptografia actual deixa de ser fic&#231;&#227;o cient&#237;fica, o que torna ainda mais urgente o investimento em criptografia de nova gera&#231;&#227;o e em infraestruturas de confian&#231;a adapt&#225;veis. H&#225; que refor&#231;ar a blindagem dos sistemas inform&#225;ticos de que dependemos. O Mythos n&#227;o fabrica &#8220;chaves-mestras&#8221;, mas sim &#8220;ma&#231;aricos&#8221; e &#8220;p&#233;s-de-cabra&#8221;&#8230;</p><p>Os factos concretos est&#227;o documentados no&nbsp;<em>system card</em>&nbsp;de 244 p&#225;ginas da Anthropic: uma vulnerabilidade de 27 anos no OpenBSD, outra de 16 anos no FFmpeg (testada cinco milh&#245;es de vezes sem sucesso) e uma cadeia aut&#243;noma de exploits no Linux Kernel que resultou no controlo total de uma m&#225;quina sem interven&#231;&#227;o humana. Foi suficientemente grave para que Powell e Bessent convocassem, numa reuni&#227;o n&#227;o agendada no Departamento do Tesouro, os CEOs do Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley e Wells Fargo. Foi o que expliquei no canal NOW.</p><h2>Modelo ou agente?</h2><p>Alguns comentadores criticaram nas redes sociais o facto de eu ter chamado &#8220;agente&#8221; ao Mythos, em vez de &#8220;modelo.&#8221; A cr&#237;tica &#233; compreens&#237;vel, mas revela um mal-entendido. Como julgo ter conseguido explicar no programa, um sistema que percebe o seu ambiente (tem sensores), decide o que fazer (encadeia ac&#231;&#245;es complexas) e age no mundo (envia emails, publica conte&#250;do, explora vulnerabilidades) n&#227;o &#233; um modelo de linguagem que apenas d&#225; respostas. &#201;, por defini&#231;&#227;o, um agente. A pr&#243;pria Anthropic documentou que o Mythos escapou de uma <em>sandbox</em>, enviou um email ao investigador sem que ningu&#233;m lho pedisse, e publicou detalhes do <em>exploit</em> por iniciativa pr&#243;pria. Chamar-lhe apenas &#8220;modelo&#8221; &#233; subestimar o que ele demonstrou ser capaz de fazer.</p><h2>O que n&#227;o consegui dizer na televis&#227;o</h2><p>O tempo foi consumido, compreensivelmente, pelo problema. Ficou de fora o mais importante: a solu&#231;&#227;o. &#201; aqui que este artigo come&#231;a verdadeiramente.</p><p>O problema resume-se a tr&#234;s frases: existe uma ferramenta que pode comprometer os sistemas de que a nossa vida depende; ningu&#233;m que tenhamos eleito decidiu o que fazer com ela; e as institui&#231;&#245;es que temos n&#227;o est&#227;o preparadas para isto. Mas existe solu&#231;&#227;o. E a solu&#231;&#227;o n&#227;o &#233; proibir a IA.</p><h2>O que a Constitui&#231;&#227;o n&#227;o prev&#234;</h2><p>A Constitui&#231;&#227;o da Rep&#250;blica Portuguesa foi escrita para um mundo onde todas as decis&#245;es com impacto nos direitos fundamentais s&#227;o tomadas por seres humanos identific&#225;veis, dentro de institui&#231;&#245;es com legitimidade democr&#225;tica, e contest&#225;veis por via judicial. Ela prev&#234; abusos humanos.</p><p>Hoje, h&#225; decis&#245;es que j&#225; n&#227;o t&#234;m rosto. Um algoritmo nega um cr&#233;dito, recusa um seguro, seleciona um curr&#237;culo, determina quais conte&#250;dos vemos e quais ficam invis&#237;veis. Em muitos casos, o cidad&#227;o n&#227;o sabe que foi uma m&#225;quina a decidir, n&#227;o sabe o porqu&#234; e n&#227;o tem a quem recorrer. Os abusos tendem a ser autom&#225;ticos.</p><p>O RGPD europeu j&#225; prev&#234; o direito do cidad&#227;o de ser informado quando uma decis&#227;o &#233; tomada exclusivamente atrav&#233;s de meios automatizados. Mas &#233; lei ordin&#225;ria, alter&#225;vel por maioria simples. E, na pr&#225;tica, quase ningu&#233;m a cumpre. O que proponho &#233; o seguinte princ&#237;pio constitucional: toda a decis&#227;o automatizada que afecte direitos fundamentais tem de ser audit&#225;vel, explic&#225;vel e contest&#225;vel por um ser humano. Estar na lei ou na Constitui&#231;&#227;o &#233; a diferen&#231;a entre uma recomenda&#231;&#227;o e um direito fundamental.</p><h2>Mas como se audita o que ningu&#233;m consegue ver?</h2><p>Esta &#233; a obje&#231;&#227;o mais s&#233;ria e &#233; leg&#237;tima. Quando sistemas tomam milh&#245;es de decis&#245;es por segundo, nenhum tribunal, nenhum regulador, nenhuma comiss&#227;o parlamentar consegue verificar manualmente o que est&#225; a acontecer. O princ&#237;pio constitucional, por si s&#243;, seria um direito inaplic&#225;vel. &#201; aqui que entra a tecnologia que n&#227;o tive tempo de explicar na televis&#227;o.</p><p>J&#225; existem protocolos criptogr&#225;ficos, testados e operacionais, que permitem verificar automaticamente se as regras est&#227;o a ser cumpridas, sem depender da boa vontade de quem opera o sistema. O Telegram foi banido pela R&#250;ssia, pelo Ir&#227;o e pela China porque d&#225; aos cidad&#227;os uma protec&#231;&#227;o que esses governos n&#227;o conseguem quebrar: quando ditaduras pro&#237;bem uma tecnologia, est&#227;o a certificar a sua efic&#225;cia. O Bitcoin, cujo protocolo merece mais aten&#231;&#227;o do que a especula&#231;&#227;o que o rodeia, funciona h&#225; 17 anos sem dono, sem governo e sem autoridade central, e nunca foi comprometido: a maior prova viva de que &#233; poss&#237;vel construir confian&#231;a verific&#225;vel sem depender de terceiros. E a Est&#243;nia, um pa&#237;s europeu como Portugal, protege h&#225; mais de uma d&#233;cada os registos de sa&#250;de dos seus cidad&#227;os com criptografia avan&#231;ada. Cada indiv&#237;duo pode verificar quem acede aos seus dados e qualquer adultera&#231;&#227;o &#233; matematicamente detect&#225;vel: a prova de que esta tecnologia j&#225; serve a democracia na Europa.</p><p>Tal como o registo predial garante a propriedade, a criptografia, ao servi&#231;o do Estado de Direito, garante a constitucionalidade.</p><h2>O n&#250;mero de Dunbar &#233; 1</h2><p>Os seres humanos conseguem confiar uns nos outros quando vivem em pequenos grupos. A ci&#234;ncia indica que o limite natural &#233; de cerca de 150 pessoas (o n&#250;mero de Dunbar). Muitos dos nossos ancestrais viveram assim. Acima disso, precis&#225;mos de institui&#231;&#245;es: leis, tribunais, registos. Toda a civiliza&#231;&#227;o foi constru&#237;da para resolver esse problema.</p><p>Agora nasceu uma nova esp&#233;cie de agentes. N&#227;o importa se pensam ou n&#227;o. O que importa &#233; a tr&#237;ade que define o seu poder ag&#234;ntico: percebem o ambiente, decidem e agem. E basta um. Um &#250;nico agente aut&#243;nomo &#233; suficiente para comprometer os sistemas de que todos dependemos. O Mythos demonstrou-o. Com esta nova esp&#233;cie, o n&#250;mero de Dunbar j&#225; n&#227;o &#233; 150. &#201; 1.</p><p>Sem um n&#237;vel de confian&#231;a &#224; altura dos automatismos que se avizinham, a humanidade n&#227;o ter&#225; uma coexist&#234;ncia vi&#225;vel com esta nova esp&#233;cie de agentes inteligentes. A tecnologia para construir essa confian&#231;a j&#225; existe. O que pode faltar &#233; vontade pol&#237;tica.</p><h2>O risco de n&#227;o fazer nada</h2><p>Se n&#227;o agirmos, os sistemas que governam a nossa vida ficam opacos. O euro digital, por exemplo, sem uma camada de verifica&#231;&#227;o criptogr&#225;fica, permite que regras sejam aplicadas automaticamente &#224; carteira de cada cidad&#227;o, sem que todos possam verificar se essas regras s&#227;o as previstas em lei. Quanto mais delegamos decis&#245;es cr&#237;ticas a sistemas aut&#243;nomos poderosos, mais precisamos de garantias de que nenhuma entidade, sozinha, as possa manipular. A omiss&#227;o pode ser a nova viola&#231;&#227;o de direitos.</p><div><hr></div><p>Conv&#233;m reconhecer o que a Anthropic fez de diferente: foi uma empresa que se autorrestringiu, alertou os governos antes do lan&#231;amento e investiu 100 milh&#245;es de d&#243;lares para que o Mythos fosse usado exclusivamente para fins de defesa. Criou um cons&#243;rcio com algumas das maiores empresas do mundo. O problema n&#227;o &#233; o que a Anthropic fez; &#233; que nenhum governo tenha participado desta decis&#227;o. N&#227;o por exclus&#227;o, mas por aus&#234;ncia de quadro institucional que lhes permita estar &#224; mesa.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The problem no one talks about ]]></title><description><![CDATA[AI doesn't lie to us. It tells us what we want to hear. And now we have mathematical proof that this is worse.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/the-problem-no-one-talks-about</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/the-problem-no-one-talks-about</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 02 Apr 2026 11:48:43 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lz09!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5b4afdbe-21a1-463c-977a-5b6913de3b2a_1024x541.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lz09!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5b4afdbe-21a1-463c-977a-5b6913de3b2a_1024x541.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div 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class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>MIT researchers recently demonstrated that AI sycophancy (the built-in tendency to agree with users) causes &#8220;delusional spiraling,&#8221; even in ideal rational agents. Not naive users. Not gullible people. Mathematically perfect Bayesian reasoners (Chandra et al., 2026).</p><p>But here&#8217;s what almost everyone misses: this isn&#8217;t a bug. It&#8217;s a mirror.</p><p>These models were trained through Reinforcement Learning with Human Feedback (RLHF), a process in which humans rate the AI&#8217;s responses and the model adjusts its behavior to maximize that approval. They learned from us. And what did we reward? Agreement. Comfort over correction. Validation over truth. The AI simply learned our preference and now returns it &#8212; amplified, at scale, without the friction or moderation a friend, a colleague, or a social norm would impose.</p><p>This is not just an AI alignment problem. It is a symptom of something deeper.</p><p>The instrument came before the machine</p><p>Long before AI agents existed, we already operated under a reductive logic. The instrument that imposed it: fiat money (from the Latin fiat, &#8216;let it be done&#8217;), the currency issued by governments that we all use, with no intrinsic use value beyond the exchange value expressed in the number it bears. Amoral, scalar, a single number that flattens everything it touches into one dimension of value.</p><p>This was always a problem. But it was a manageable problem (though increasingly less so). Why? Because human friction mitigated it. Moral judgment. Social norms. The colleague who pushes back. The community that enforces standards beyond profit. The slow, messy, beautiful inefficiency of human deliberation.</p><p>We didn&#8217;t optimize perfectly, and that &#8220;imperfection&#8221; protected us.</p><p>AI removes the friction</p><p>AI agents now operate on these same unidimensional incentive structures. But they do something humans could never do: they remove friction entirely. No moral hesitation. No social pressure. No fatigue. Just the relentless computational optimization of whatever scalar number they are given.</p><p>In a chatbot, AI already shows us what happens when an agent optimises without friction: delusional spiraling. Now imagine the same mechanism operating on the instrument that drives markets, value chains, and governance decisions &#8212; fiat money, which was already reductive before any agent amplified it.</p><p>The pattern is the same. The instrument was already reductive. AI amplifies it.</p><p>The question almost nobody is asking</p><p>The public debate is stuck on &#8220;how do we make AI less sycophantic&#8221; or &#8220;how do we align AI with human values.&#8221; These are important questions, but about remedies that treat only the symptoms.</p><p>The structural question about the real cure is: how do we redesign the primary architecture of economic incentives before autonomous agents amplify our blind spots beyond any possible repair?</p><p>Our measure of value has become, itself, the primary objective. As the popular adaptation known as &#8220;Goodhart&#8217;s law&#8221; holds, when a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure (Goodhart, 1975). Putting ever more powerful AI agents to optimize it does not solve the problem. It accelerates it.</p><p>What I research</p><p>My research program sits at this intersection. I study how to move from unidimensional economic incentives to multidimensional incentive architectures &#8212; using programmable trust with distributed ledger technology (DLT), tokenized value systems, and smart contracts that encode dimensions of value that fiat money cannot represent.</p><p>Not to replace markets. Not to eliminate money. But to give the system &#8212; and the agents operating within it &#8212; more dimensions to optimize for.</p><p>This thesis did not emerge as a reaction to the current AI hype. Its roots trace back to my Cyberethics-Mix framework, first published at the start of the previous decade (IGI Global, 2011) and later strengthened in light of emerging technologies (IGI Global, 2021), which identified four ethical dimensions of cyberspace: privacy, property, precision, and possibility of access (pervasiveness). That diagnostic framework informed my Blockchanging trilogy (IGI Global, 2021a, 2021b, 2021c), in which I argued &#8212; building on Dirk Helbing&#8217;s seminal observation (2014) that money is &#8216;a scalar, the simplest mathematical quantity one can think of&#8217; &#8212; that blockchain technology enables multidimensional financial incentive systems through qualified money, programmable trust, and tokenized value. What has changed since then is the arrival of autonomous AI agents operating on these same scalar structures, removing the human friction that once mitigated their reductive logic. The urgency is new. The diagnosis is not.</p><p>Some of my contributions in this area, where I am conducting my post-doctorate:</p><p>The &#8220;Kill Switch Paradox&#8221;: the logical impossibility of maintaining meaningful human control over autonomous agents that operate faster than human deliberation, and the reason why upstream incentive design is the only viable alternative to downstream intervention.</p><p>A &#8220;multidimensional incentives model&#8221; that uses DLT-based tokens and smart contracts to encode social, environmental, and ethical dimensions alongside economic value.</p><p>Over 15 years of published research in cyberethics, blockchain, and AI governance, including the Blockchanging trilogy (IGI Global, 2021).</p><p>I am currently completing a post-doctorate at Universidade do Algarve on &#8220;AI and Trust Infrastructures: Digital Governance, Ethical Sustainability, and Social Inclusion.&#8221;</p><p>About this newsletter</p><p>(De)Coding the Future is where I think out loud about these questions. In English and Portuguese. Through academic work, public commentary, and the occasional provocation.</p><p>The premise is simple: AI agents optimize for one scalar: money. I study how to give them more dimensions.</p><p>If this problem matters to you, subscribe.</p><p>Dario Rodrigues &#8212; Professor at ESGTS-IPSantar&#233;m | Researcher at CIAC-PLDIS | Post-doctoral fellow, Universidade do Algarve</p><p>Published in Observador | Commentator on NOW (MediaLivre) | Author of the Blockchanging trilogy (IGI Global)</p><p>Third-party references:</p><p>Chandra, K., Kleiman-Weiner, M., Ragan-Kelley, J., &amp; Tenenbaum, J. B. (2026). Sycophantic Chatbots Cause Delusional Spiraling, Even in Ideal Bayesians. arXiv preprint, arXiv:2602.19141.</p><p>Goodhart, C. A. E. (1975). Problems of Monetary Management: The U.K. Experience. Papers in Monetary Economics, Reserve Bank of Australia.</p><p>Helbing, D. (2014). Qualified Money: A Better Financial System for the Future. Available at SSRN 2526022.</p><p>Author&#8217;s references:</p><p>Volume:</p><p>Rodrigues, D. O. (Ed.). (2021). Political and Economic Implications of Blockchain Technology in Business and Healthcare. IGI Global.</p><p>Chapters:</p><p>Rodrigues, D. O. (2011). Cyberethics of Business Social Networking. In Cruz-Cunha, M. M., Gon&#231;alves, P., Lopes, N., Miranda, E. M., &amp; Putnik, G. D. (Eds.), Handbook of Research on Business Social Networking: Organizational, Managerial, and Technological Dimensions. IGI Global.</p><p>Rodrigues, D. O. (2021a). Blockchanging Trust: Ethical Metamorphosis in Business and Healthcare. In Rodrigues (Ed.), Political and Economic Implications of Blockchain Technology in Business and Healthcare (pp. 1&#8211;41). IGI Global.</p><p>Rodrigues, D. O. (2021b). Blockchanging Money: Reengineering the Free World Incentive System. In Rodrigues (Ed.), Political and Economic Implications of Blockchain Technology in Business and Healthcare (pp. 69&#8211;117). IGI Global.</p><p>Rodrigues, D. O. (2021c). Blockchanging Politics: Opening a Trustworthy But Hazardous Reforming Era. In Rodrigues (Ed.), Political and Economic Implications of Blockchain Technology in Business and Healthcare. IGI Global.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[O problema de que ninguém fala]]></title><description><![CDATA[A IA n&#227;o nos mente. Diz-nos o que queremos ouvir. E agora temos a prova matem&#225;tica de que isso &#233; pior.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/o-problema-de-que-ninguem-fala</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/o-problema-de-que-ninguem-fala</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 02 Apr 2026 11:38:37 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6n2!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bb54b9-e323-4b71-a8e2-e951cb80df9e_1024x541.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6n2!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bb54b9-e323-4b71-a8e2-e951cb80df9e_1024x541.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6n2!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bb54b9-e323-4b71-a8e2-e951cb80df9e_1024x541.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6n2!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bb54b9-e323-4b71-a8e2-e951cb80df9e_1024x541.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6n2!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bb54b9-e323-4b71-a8e2-e951cb80df9e_1024x541.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6n2!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bb54b9-e323-4b71-a8e2-e951cb80df9e_1024x541.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6n2!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bb54b9-e323-4b71-a8e2-e951cb80df9e_1024x541.png" width="1024" height="541" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d0bb54b9-e323-4b71-a8e2-e951cb80df9e_1024x541.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:541,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:644334,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/i/192939015?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bb54b9-e323-4b71-a8e2-e951cb80df9e_1024x541.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6n2!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bb54b9-e323-4b71-a8e2-e951cb80df9e_1024x541.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6n2!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bb54b9-e323-4b71-a8e2-e951cb80df9e_1024x541.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6n2!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bb54b9-e323-4b71-a8e2-e951cb80df9e_1024x541.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6n2!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0bb54b9-e323-4b71-a8e2-e951cb80df9e_1024x541.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Investigadores do MIT demonstraram recentemente que a subservi&#234;ncia da IA (a tend&#234;ncia nela incorporada de concordar com os utilizadores) causa &#8220;espirais delirantes&#8221; (<em>delusional spiraling</em>), mesmo em agentes racionais ideais. N&#227;o utilizadores ing&#233;nuos. N&#227;o pessoas cr&#233;dulas. Agentes bayesianos matematicamente perfeitos (Chandra et al., 2026).</p><p>Mas h&#225; algo que quase toda a gente ignora: isto n&#227;o &#233; um defeito. &#201; um espelho.</p><p>Estes modelos foram treinados atrav&#233;s de <em>Reinforcement Learning with Human Feedback</em> (RLHF), um processo em que humanos avaliam as respostas da IA e a m&#225;quina ajusta o pr&#243;prio comportamento para maximizar essa aprova&#231;&#227;o. Aprenderam connosco. E o que &#233; que recompens&#225;mos? Concord&#226;ncia. Conforto em vez de corre&#231;&#227;o. Valida&#231;&#227;o em vez de verdade. A IA simplesmente aprendeu qual &#233; a nossa prefer&#234;ncia e agora devolve-a, amplificada, em escala, sem a fric&#231;&#227;o ou a modera&#231;&#227;o que um amigo, um colega ou uma norma social imporia.</p><p>Isto n&#227;o &#233; apenas um problema de alinhamento da IA. &#201; um sintoma de algo mais profundo.</p><p><strong>O instrumento veio antes da m&#225;quina</strong></p><p>Muito antes dos agentes de IA existirem, j&#225; oper&#225;vamos sob uma l&#243;gica redutora. O instrumento que a imp&#244;s: o dinheiro <em>fiat (</em>do latim <em>fiat</em>, 'assim seja'<em>)</em>, a moeda emitida pelos Estados que todos usamos, sem valor de uso intr&#237;nseco al&#233;m do valor de troca expresso no n&#250;mero que nela consta. Amoral, escalar, um &#250;nico n&#250;mero que achata tudo o que toca numa s&#243; dimens&#227;o de valor.</p><p>Isto sempre foi um problema. Mas era um problema ger&#237;vel (embora cada vez com mais dificuldade). Porqu&#234;? Porque a fric&#231;&#227;o humana o mitigava. O julgamento moral. As normas sociais. O colega que contesta. A comunidade que imp&#245;e padr&#245;es para al&#233;m do lucro. A inefici&#234;ncia lenta, confusa e bonita da delibera&#231;&#227;o humana.</p><p>N&#227;o otimiz&#225;vamos perfeitamente, e essa &#8220;imperfei&#231;&#227;o&#8221; protegia-nos.</p><p><strong>A IA remove a fric&#231;&#227;o</strong></p><p>Os agentes de IA operam agora sobre estas mesmas estruturas de incentivos unidimensionais. Mas fazem algo que os humanos nunca conseguiram: removem a fric&#231;&#227;o por completo. Sem hesita&#231;&#227;o moral. Sem press&#227;o social. Sem fadiga. Apenas a otimiza&#231;&#227;o computacional implac&#225;vel de qualquer n&#250;mero escalar que lhes seja fornecido.</p><p>Num chatbot, a IA j&#225; nos mostra o que acontece quando um agente otimiza sem fric&#231;&#227;o: espirais delirantes. Agora imaginemos o mesmo mecanismo a operar sobre o instrumento que move mercados, cadeias de valor e decis&#245;es de governan&#231;a: o dinheiro <em>fiat</em>, que j&#225; era redutor antes de qualquer agente o amplificar.</p><p>O padr&#227;o &#233; o mesmo. O instrumento j&#225; era redutor. A IA amplifica-o.</p><p><strong>A pergunta que quase ningu&#233;m faz</strong></p><p>O debate p&#250;blico est&#225; preso em &#8220;como tornar a IA menos subserviente&#8221; ou &#8220;como alinhar a IA com valores humanos.&#8221; S&#227;o perguntas importantes, mas sobre rem&#233;dios que tratam apenas os sintomas.</p><p>A pergunta estrutural sobre a verdadeira cura &#233;: como redesenhamos a principal arquitetura de incentivos econ&#243;micos antes que agentes aut&#243;nomos amplifiquem os nossos pontos cegos para al&#233;m de qualquer repara&#231;&#227;o poss&#237;vel?</p><p>A nossa medida de valor tornou-se, ela pr&#243;pria, o objetivo principal. Ora, como reza uma adapta&#231;&#227;o conhecida como &#8220;lei de Goodhart&#8221;, quando uma medida se torna um objetivo, deixa de ser uma boa medida (Goodhart, 1975). Colocar agentes de IA cada vez mais poderosos a otimiz&#225;-la n&#227;o resolve o problema. Acelera-o.</p><p><strong>O que investigo</strong></p><p>O meu programa de investiga&#231;&#227;o situa-se nesta intersec&#231;&#227;o. Estudo como passar de incentivos econ&#243;micos unidimensionais para arquiteturas de incentivos multidimensionais, usando confian&#231;a program&#225;vel com tecnologia de registos distribu&#237;dos (DLT), sistemas de valor <em>tokenizados</em> e contratos inteligentes capazes de codificar dimens&#245;es de valor que o dinheiro <em>fiat</em> n&#227;o consegue representar.</p><p>N&#227;o para substituir mercados. N&#227;o para eliminar o dinheiro. Mas para dar ao sistema (e aos agentes que nele operam) mais dimens&#245;es para otimizar.<br><br>Esta tese n&#227;o surgiu como rea&#231;&#227;o ao hype atual sobre a IA. As suas ra&#237;zes remontam ao meu framework&nbsp;<em>Cyberethics-Mix</em>, publicado pela primeira vez no in&#237;cio da d&#233;cada passada (IGI Global, 2011) e robustecido &#224; luz das tecnologias emergentes (IGI, 2021), que identificou quatro dimens&#245;es &#233;ticas do ciberespa&#231;o: privacidade, propriedade, precis&#227;o e possibilidade de acesso (pervasividade). Esse referencial de diagn&#243;stico alimentou a trilogia Blockchanging (IGI Global, 2021a, 2021b, 2021c), na qual argumentei, apoiando-me na observa&#231;&#227;o seminal de Dirk Helbing (2014), que o dinheiro &#233; &#8216;um escalar, a quantidade matem&#225;tica mais simples que se pode conceber&#8217;, e que a tecnologia blockchain viabiliza sistemas de incentivos financeiros multidimensionais por meio de dinheiro qualificado, confian&#231;a program&#225;vel e valor tokenizado. O que mudou desde ent&#227;o foi a chegada de agentes de IA aut&#243;nomos a operar sobre essas mesmas estruturas escalares, removendo a fric&#231;&#227;o humana que antes mitigava a sua l&#243;gica redutora. A urg&#234;ncia &#233; nova. O diagn&#243;stico n&#227;o.</p><p>Algumas das contribui&#231;&#245;es nesta &#225;rea em que desenvolvo o meu p&#243;s-doutoramento:</p><ul><li><p>O &#8220;Kill Switch Paradox&#8221;: a impossibilidade l&#243;gica de manter controlo humano significativo sobre agentes aut&#243;nomos que operam mais depressa do que a delibera&#231;&#227;o humana, e a raz&#227;o pela qual o design de incentivos a montante &#233; a &#250;nica alternativa vi&#225;vel &#224; interven&#231;&#227;o a jusante.</p></li></ul><ul><li><p>Um &#8220;modelo de incentivos multidimensionais&#8221; que utiliza tokens baseados em DLT e contratos inteligentes para codificar dimens&#245;es sociais, ambientais e &#233;ticas ao lado do valor econ&#243;mico.</p></li></ul><ul><li><p>Mais de 15 anos de investiga&#231;&#227;o publicada em ciber&#233;tica, blockchain e governan&#231;a da IA, incluindo a trilogia &#8220;Blockchanging&#8221; (IGI Global, 2021).</p></li></ul><ul><li><p>Estou atualmente a realizar um p&#243;s-doutoramento na Universidade do Algarve sobre &#8220;IA e Infraestruturas de Confian&#231;a: Governan&#231;a Digital, Sustentabilidade &#201;tica e Inclus&#227;o Social&#8221;.</p></li></ul><p><strong>Sobre esta newsletter</strong></p><p>(<em><strong>De)Coding the Future </strong></em>&#233; onde penso em voz alta sobre estas quest&#245;es. Em ingl&#234;s e portugu&#234;s. Atrav&#233;s de trabalho acad&#233;mico, coment&#225;rio p&#250;blico e provoca&#231;&#245;es ocasionais.</p><p>A premissa &#233; simples: <em>os agentes de IA otimizam para um &#250;nico escalar: dinheiro. </em>Eu estudo como lhes dar mais dimens&#245;es.</p><p>Se este problema te interessa, subscreve.<br></p><p>***</p><p>*Dario Rodrigues &#8212; Professor no ESGTS-IPSantar&#233;m | Investigador no CIAC-PLDIS | P&#243;s-doutorando, Universidade do Algarve*</p><p><em>Publicado no Observador | Comentador no NOW (MediaLivre) | Autor da trilogia Blockchanging (IGI Global)<br><br></em>***<br><br>Refer&#234;ncias bibliogr&#225;ficas de terceiros:</p><p>Chandra, K., Kleiman-Weiner, M., Ragan-Kelley, J., &amp; Tenenbaum, J. B. (2026). Sycophantic Chatbots Cause Delusional Spiraling, Even in Ideal Bayesians. arXiv preprint, arXiv:2602.19141.</p><p>Goodhart, C. A. E. (1975). Problems of Monetary Management: The U.K. Experience. Papers in Monetary Economics, Reserve Bank of Australia.</p><p>Helbing, D. (2014). Qualified Money: A Better Financial System for the Future. Available at SSRN 2526022.</p><p>Refer&#234;ncias bibliogr&#225;ficas pr&#243;prias:</p><p>Volume: </p><p>Rodrigues, D. O. (Ed.). (2021). Political and Economic Implications of Blockchain Technology in Business and Healthcare. IGI Global.</p><p>Cap&#237;tulos:</p><p>Rodrigues, D. O. (2011). Cyberethics of Business Social Networking. In Cruz-Cunha, M. M., Gon&#231;alves, P., Lopes, N., Miranda, E. M., &amp; Putnik, G. D. (Eds.), Handbook of Research on Business Social Networking: Organizational, Managerial, and Technological Dimensions. IGI Global.</p><p>Rodrigues, D. O. (2021a). Blockchanging Trust: Ethical Metamorphosis in Business and Healthcare. In Rodrigues (Ed.), Political and Economic Implications of Blockchain Technology in Business and Healthcare (pp. 1&#8211;41). IGI Global.</p><p>Rodrigues, D. O. (2021b). Blockchanging Money: Reengineering the Free World Incentive System. In Rodrigues (Ed.), Political and Economic Implications of Blockchain Technology in Business and Healthcare (pp. 69&#8211;117). IGI Global.</p><p>Rodrigues, D. O. (2021c). Blockchanging Politics: Opening a Trustworthy But Hazardous Reforming Era. In Rodrigues (Ed.), Political and Economic Implications of Blockchain Technology in Business and Healthcare. IGI Global.<br></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Trust in the Age of AI Is Not a Feeling; It Is an Infrastructure]]></title><description><![CDATA[When two adversaries do not trust each other, the solution is not to ask for trust. It is to build a mechanism that makes it unnecessary.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/trust-in-the-age-of-ai-is-not-a-feeling</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/trust-in-the-age-of-ai-is-not-a-feeling</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2026 07:44:02 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KR8P!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F56e2ea75-98f0-4beb-9e49-ba97d27ad34d_2816x1536.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KR8P!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F56e2ea75-98f0-4beb-9e49-ba97d27ad34d_2816x1536.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KR8P!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F56e2ea75-98f0-4beb-9e49-ba97d27ad34d_2816x1536.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KR8P!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F56e2ea75-98f0-4beb-9e49-ba97d27ad34d_2816x1536.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KR8P!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F56e2ea75-98f0-4beb-9e49-ba97d27ad34d_2816x1536.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KR8P!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F56e2ea75-98f0-4beb-9e49-ba97d27ad34d_2816x1536.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KR8P!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F56e2ea75-98f0-4beb-9e49-ba97d27ad34d_2816x1536.png" width="1456" height="794" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/56e2ea75-98f0-4beb-9e49-ba97d27ad34d_2816x1536.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:794,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:9578801,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/i/189853244?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F56e2ea75-98f0-4beb-9e49-ba97d27ad34d_2816x1536.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KR8P!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F56e2ea75-98f0-4beb-9e49-ba97d27ad34d_2816x1536.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KR8P!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F56e2ea75-98f0-4beb-9e49-ba97d27ad34d_2816x1536.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KR8P!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F56e2ea75-98f0-4beb-9e49-ba97d27ad34d_2816x1536.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KR8P!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F56e2ea75-98f0-4beb-9e49-ba97d27ad34d_2816x1536.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>The same company. Two attacks. One weekend.</strong></p><p>On a Sunday, three Chinese AI laboratories used 24,000 fake accounts to ask Claude 16 million questions, systematically extracting its most advanced capabilities to train rival models. On Tuesday, the U.S. Secretary of Defense summoned Anthropic&#8217;s CEO to the Pentagon with a 72-hour ultimatum: remove all restrictions on military use, or lose a $200 million contract and face sanctions severe enough to destroy the business.</p><p>The temptation is to pick a side. The responsible company against the reckless general. The pragmatic military against the idealist CEO. Neither version is true, and neither solves anything.</p><p>The real driver of this crisis is not bad faith. It is the absence of any mechanism to verify good faith. The Pentagon cannot prove to Anthropic that it will respect agreed limits. Anthropic cannot verify compliance without accessing classified operations. Each side, acting rationally within its own constraints, deepens the other&#8217;s suspicion. A cycle in which everyone loses, but no one has an incentive to change alone.</p><p>This is not a new problem. During the Cold War, the United States and the Soviet Union signed and honoured nuclear arms treaties not because they trusted each other, but because verification mechanisms made trust unnecessary. Inspectors, satellites, independent reports. Neither side believed in the other&#8217;s goodwill. Both believed in the mathematics of the instruments.</p><p>The same logic applies here. Cryptographic techniques already used in financial systems and digital identity, specifically zero-knowledge proofs, allow one party to prove to another that an agreed condition has been met, without revealing anything beyond that fact. The Pentagon could demonstrate that it used Claude within agreed parameters without disclosing a single operation. Anthropic could verify this without accessing any classified information. Certainty instead of suspicion. Mathematical proof instead of a political ultimatum.</p><p>The barrier is not technical. It is political. Verification requires each party to accept being verifiable, which means sharing power. Governments accustomed to operating without scrutiny on national security matters resist. Companies accustomed to setting unilateral terms of use resist, too.</p><p>Meanwhile, no autocratic adversary has lost a single day debating ethical limits. That asymmetry is, in itself, the most urgent argument for building what is missing: not better models, not faster adoption, but infrastructure that makes distrust unnecessary.</p><p>That, paradoxically, is an advantage only open societies can build. It requires transparency, mutual verification, and institutions willing to be scrutinised. Autocracies can build powerful AI. What they cannot build is verifiable trust.</p><p>That is the real competitive advantage of democracies in the age of artificial intelligence, if they have the clarity to use it.</p><div><hr></div><p><em>(This post expands on an article published today in Observador, Portugal&#8217;s leading online newspaper. The full piece, in Portuguese, is available <a href="https://observador.pt/opiniao/pentagono-vs-anthropic-o-buraco-negro-da-confianca-na-ia/">here</a>.)</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Code No Longer Merely Executes Orders. It Writes Them.]]></title><description><![CDATA[Why AI alignment is an incentive design problem, not a technical one.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/code-no-longer-merely-executes-orders</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/code-no-longer-merely-executes-orders</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2026 08:44:13 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XQKP!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21267d98-4c66-4f0f-a19e-d4fe7ace26f6_2816x1536.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XQKP!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21267d98-4c66-4f0f-a19e-d4fe7ace26f6_2816x1536.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XQKP!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21267d98-4c66-4f0f-a19e-d4fe7ace26f6_2816x1536.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XQKP!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21267d98-4c66-4f0f-a19e-d4fe7ace26f6_2816x1536.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XQKP!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21267d98-4c66-4f0f-a19e-d4fe7ace26f6_2816x1536.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XQKP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21267d98-4c66-4f0f-a19e-d4fe7ace26f6_2816x1536.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XQKP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21267d98-4c66-4f0f-a19e-d4fe7ace26f6_2816x1536.png" width="1456" height="794" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/21267d98-4c66-4f0f-a19e-d4fe7ace26f6_2816x1536.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:794,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:9264667,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/i/189629163?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21267d98-4c66-4f0f-a19e-d4fe7ace26f6_2816x1536.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XQKP!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21267d98-4c66-4f0f-a19e-d4fe7ace26f6_2816x1536.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XQKP!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21267d98-4c66-4f0f-a19e-d4fe7ace26f6_2816x1536.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XQKP!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21267d98-4c66-4f0f-a19e-d4fe7ace26f6_2816x1536.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XQKP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21267d98-4c66-4f0f-a19e-d4fe7ace26f6_2816x1536.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>For most of the digital era, code was a tool. Engineers wrote instructions; machines executed them. The relationship was clear, hierarchical, and comfortably familiar. Code served human intent.</p><p>That relationship is over.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading (De)Coding the Future! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Today&#8217;s AI agents don&#8217;t simply follow instructions. They interpret objectives, select strategies, and execute decisions at machine speed, often in ways their designers neither predicted nor intended. They are not tools. They are autonomous economic actors, operating within reward functions that define what counts as success.</p><p>And here lies the problem no one wants to name: those reward functions inherit the deepest structural flaw of our economic infrastructure. Money itself is a unidimensional scalar. It encodes price but not trust. Cost but not consequence. Value, but only on a single axis.</p><p>It was not always this way. Before the invention of coinage, economic exchange was embedded in networks of reciprocal obligation, reputation, and social meaning. Transactions carried multidimensional information: who you were, what you owed, what was owed to you, and what your community expected of you. Trust was not an externality; it was the medium itself. (I explore this pre-monetary architecture of trust in episodes <a href="https://youtu.be/nf29ZY-e9po">3</a> and <a href="https://youtu.be/pBHkrCY8758">4</a> of my video series on digital decentralization.)</p><p>The invention of money was an extraordinary feat of abstraction: it made exchange scalable by compressing all of that multidimensional information into a single number. But compression is lossy. What money gained in efficiency, it lost in dimensionality. Trust, reciprocity, social accountability, all were stripped from the transactional layer and delegated to institutions, culture, and individual conscience.</p><p>For centuries, this was a tolerable trade-off because human judgment filled the gaps. Humans could look beyond the price tag. They could weigh consequences that no ledger recorded. They could choose not to optimize.</p><p>AI agents cannot. When autonomous agents operate within an economic system built on a unidimensional scalar, they optimize for that scalar with a thoroughness no human ever could. There are no gaps to fill. There is only the number. Every externality that human judgment once caught, every ethical consideration that lived outside the transaction, becomes invisible to the agent. Not because the agent is flawed, but because the incentive architecture is.</p><p>The AI safety community calls this &#8220;alignment.&#8221; I call it something simpler: an incentive architecture problem. And it did not begin with AI. It began with the invention of money. AI merely strips away the human buffer that made the unidimensionality tolerable. But human labor is being replaced&#8230;</p><p>This is what programmable trust makes possible: blockchain and distributed ledger technologies are not primarily financial instruments (despite what the crypto hype cycle suggests). They are trust infrastructures: systems that can embed verifiable commitments, conditional incentives, and governance rules directly into the transactional layer. Combined with AI, they offer something unprecedented: the ability to rebuild what money destroyed (see the two links above), to re-encode into economic transactions the multidimensional information that coinage compressed into a single scalar.</p><p>This is the territory I have been mapping for the past fifteen years, first through the Cyberethics-Mix framework (Privacy, Property, Precision, Pervasiveness), then through research on <a href="https://www.igi-global.com/book/political-economic-implications-blockchain-technology/262683">blockchain governance</a>, and now through my postdoctoral work on Artificial Intelligence and Trust Infrastructures at Universidade do Algarve.</p><p>This publication is where I think about these questions in public. Not as a newsletter with a fixed schedule, but as an evolving body of work. Some posts will be long arguments. Others will be short provocations. All will circle the same core question:</p><p>How do we design systems where autonomous agents optimize for more than one dimension of value?</p><p>If that question interests you, subscribe. If it doesn&#8217;t, you now know where I stand.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading (De)Coding the Future! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Quando a Decisão Deixa de Ter Rosto]]></title><description><![CDATA[O pr&#243;ximo Presidente da Rep&#250;blica ter&#225; invulgar import&#226;ncia porque o centro das decis&#245;es que afetam as pessoas deslocar-se-&#225; para fora dos lugares onde a democracia sempre aprendeu a reconhec&#234;-las.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/descodificar-o-futuro-11-quando-a</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/descodificar-o-futuro-11-quando-a</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 2025 07:33:43 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZI1u!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7cdf0a4-69ec-4be2-9aea-efb81097889c_1536x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h5><strong>&#127477;&#127481; Edi&#231;&#227;o Portuguesa &#8212; English version <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/decoding-the-future-11-when-decisions">here</a>.</strong></h5><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZI1u!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7cdf0a4-69ec-4be2-9aea-efb81097889c_1536x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZI1u!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7cdf0a4-69ec-4be2-9aea-efb81097889c_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZI1u!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7cdf0a4-69ec-4be2-9aea-efb81097889c_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZI1u!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7cdf0a4-69ec-4be2-9aea-efb81097889c_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZI1u!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7cdf0a4-69ec-4be2-9aea-efb81097889c_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZI1u!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7cdf0a4-69ec-4be2-9aea-efb81097889c_1536x1024.png" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b7cdf0a4-69ec-4be2-9aea-efb81097889c_1536x1024.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2680964,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/i/183032644?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7cdf0a4-69ec-4be2-9aea-efb81097889c_1536x1024.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZI1u!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7cdf0a4-69ec-4be2-9aea-efb81097889c_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZI1u!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7cdf0a4-69ec-4be2-9aea-efb81097889c_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZI1u!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7cdf0a4-69ec-4be2-9aea-efb81097889c_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZI1u!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7cdf0a4-69ec-4be2-9aea-efb81097889c_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Nos pr&#243;ximos cinco anos, o Presidente da Rep&#250;blica ter&#225; uma import&#226;ncia ainda maior. N&#227;o por vir a governar mais, mas porque o centro real das decis&#245;es que afetam a vida das pessoas est&#225; a deslocar-se para fora dos lugares onde a democracia sempre aprendeu a reconhec&#234;-las.</p><p>Durante s&#233;culos, mesmo nas sociedades mais burocr&#225;ticas, as decis&#245;es relevantes eram sempre tomadas por pessoas. Podiam ser injustas ou erradas, mas tinham um autor identific&#225;vel. Hoje, come&#231;a a tornar-se normal que decis&#245;es com impacto real surjam como resultados autom&#225;ticos: notifica&#231;&#245;es, classifica&#231;&#245;es ou recusas emitidas por sistemas que ningu&#233;m consulta no momento em que decidem.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Obrigado por ler (Des)Codificar o Futuro! Subscreva para receber novas publica&#231;&#245;es.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>A discuss&#227;o (que n&#227;o est&#225; a ser feita) em torno do euro digital que se avizinha ilustra bem esta mudan&#231;a. Independentemente da forma final que venha a assumir, tornar&#225; tecnicamente poss&#237;vel algo novo: que regras monet&#225;rias, restri&#231;&#245;es ou incentivos sejam aplicados automaticamente a cada cidad&#227;o em particular, sem um ato humano espec&#237;fico no momento das decis&#245;es que afetam a sua carteira digital. Isto marca uma rutura. O futuro pr&#243;ximo n&#227;o ser&#225; uma reedi&#231;&#227;o do passado, porque o pr&#243;prio lugar onde as decis&#245;es s&#227;o tomadas est&#225; a mudar.</p><p>At&#233; aqui, quando fal&#225;vamos de &#8220;escala&#8221;, refer&#237;amos-nos a decis&#245;es iguais aplicadas a muitos. O que muda com sistemas autom&#225;ticos de IA &#233; outra coisa: a capacidade de aplicar regras gerais de forma diferente a cada pessoa, em tempo real. O alcance deixa de ser apenas sobre quantos s&#227;o afetados pelas decis&#245;es, pois estas passam a poder atingir, de forma personalizada, cada cidad&#227;o.</p><p>&#201; neste contexto que se torna vis&#237;vel uma fragilidade silenciosa do nosso aparelho democr&#225;tico. A Constitui&#231;&#227;o foi concebida para um mundo de decis&#245;es humanas, identific&#225;veis e contest&#225;veis. Quando as decis&#245;es passam a ser executadas por sistemas autom&#225;ticos inteligentes, os direitos mant&#234;m-se no texto, mas perdem efic&#225;cia pr&#225;tica: j&#225; n&#227;o &#233; claro quem decide, a quem pedir explica&#231;&#245;es ou onde exercer contradit&#243;rio.</p><p>Diante disso, a resposta n&#227;o &#233; uma revis&#227;o constitucional. O problema n&#227;o est&#225; na falta de leis, mas na desloca&#231;&#227;o do poder para processos que operam fora do alcance normal da responsabilidade democr&#225;tica. Quando o poder deixa de ter rosto, o legalismo chega sempre tarde.</p><p>Mesmo quando o impacto da tecnologia foi raramente mencionado no espa&#231;o p&#250;blico, o enquadramento manteve-se gen&#233;rico, centrado na adapta&#231;&#227;o e na requalifica&#231;&#227;o profissional. Sem retirar m&#233;rito de quem, pelo menos, tocou no assunto (s&#243; detetei o caso de&nbsp;<strong>Cotrim de Figueiredo</strong>), isso revela, sobretudo, a dificuldade coletiva em formular o problema quando o que est&#225; em causa &#233; a transforma&#231;&#227;o dos pr&#243;prios mecanismos de decis&#227;o, de responsabilidade e de poder.</p><p>&#201; aqui que a magistratura de influ&#234;ncia se torna decisiva: a capacidade institucional de evidenciar, perante a opini&#227;o p&#250;blica, onde e como as decis&#245;es s&#227;o tomadas antes de se normalizarem sem escrut&#237;nio. Decis&#245;es inteligentes no plano instrumental podem ser obtusas no plano democr&#225;tico e at&#233; do ponto de vista humano. No tempo que se avizinha, o discernimento &#233;tico e c&#237;vico contar&#225; mais do que a experi&#234;ncia pol&#237;tica ou a mera capacidade de media&#231;&#227;o de interesses.</p><p>Esse papel j&#225; foi exercido entre n&#243;s. Em 2021, o Presidente da Rep&#250;blica vetou um diploma que permitiria o uso de tecnologias de reconhecimento facial em espa&#231;os p&#250;blicos. N&#227;o o fez por rejeitar a tecnologia, mas por considerar que as garantias oferecidas aos cidad&#227;os eram insuficientes. O veto n&#227;o resolveu o problema t&#233;cnico, mas impediu que decis&#245;es autom&#225;ticas, com impacto direto sobre pessoas concretas, se tornassem normais sem debate p&#250;blico e sem responsabilidade claramente assumida.</p><p>Estes problemas n&#227;o s&#227;o novos, mas a IA torna-os incomparavelmente mais intensos. Nos Pa&#237;ses Baixos, sistemas autom&#225;ticos usados para detectar fraude em subs&#237;dios classificaram milhares de fam&#237;lias como culpadas, sem defesa eficaz, repetindo o erro, caso a caso, at&#233; que os danos se tornaram irrevers&#237;veis. Hoje, algo semelhante acontece na liberdade de express&#227;o: sistemas autom&#225;ticos decidem quem &#233; removido, limitado ou tornado invis&#237;vel nas plataformas digitais, em tempo real e de forma diferente para cada pessoa. A novidade n&#227;o &#233; o erro; &#233; a sua velocidade, repeti&#231;&#227;o e profundidade. Quando estas decis&#245;es se tornam infraestrutura, corrigir depois j&#225; n&#227;o chega.</p><p>As democracias raramente colapsam quando algu&#233;m decide demais.<br>Colapsam quando ningu&#233;m decide e ningu&#233;m responde.</p><p>&#201; desse ponto silencioso e fatal para a democracia que nos aproximamos.</p><p></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Obrigado por ler (Des)Codificar o Futuro! Subscreva para receber novas publica&#231;&#245;es.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[When Decisions Lose Their Face]]></title><description><![CDATA[Portugal&#8217;s next president will have unusual importance because the center of decisions that affect people will shift away from the places where democracy has always learned to recognize them.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/decoding-the-future-11-when-decisions</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/decoding-the-future-11-when-decisions</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 2025 07:28:09 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gB7L!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9f0547a3-7833-4921-b36c-a5aee33da2c8_1536x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h5><strong>&#127468;&#127463; English Edition &#8212; Portuguese version <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/descodificar-o-futuro-11-quando-a">here</a>.</strong></h5><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gB7L!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9f0547a3-7833-4921-b36c-a5aee33da2c8_1536x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gB7L!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9f0547a3-7833-4921-b36c-a5aee33da2c8_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gB7L!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9f0547a3-7833-4921-b36c-a5aee33da2c8_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gB7L!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9f0547a3-7833-4921-b36c-a5aee33da2c8_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gB7L!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9f0547a3-7833-4921-b36c-a5aee33da2c8_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gB7L!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9f0547a3-7833-4921-b36c-a5aee33da2c8_1536x1024.png" width="1456" height="971" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gB7L!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9f0547a3-7833-4921-b36c-a5aee33da2c8_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gB7L!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9f0547a3-7833-4921-b36c-a5aee33da2c8_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gB7L!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9f0547a3-7833-4921-b36c-a5aee33da2c8_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gB7L!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9f0547a3-7833-4921-b36c-a5aee33da2c8_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Over the next five years, the President of the Republic will assume an even greater importance. Not because the office will govern more, but because the real centre of decisions that affect people&#8217;s lives is moving away from the places where democracy has traditionally learned to recognise them.</p><p>For centuries, even in the most bureaucratic societies, relevant decisions were always made by people. They could be unjust or wrong, but they had an identifiable author. Today, it is becoming normal for decisions with real impact to emerge as automatic outputs: notifications, classifications, or refusals issued by systems that no one consults at the moment they decide.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading (De)Coding the Future! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>The discussion (which is not taking place) about the digital euro ahead illustrates this shift well. Regardless of the final form it may take, it will make something new technically possible: monetary rules, restrictions, or incentives being applied automatically to each citizen, without a specific human act at the moment decisions affecting their digital wallet are made. This marks a rupture. The near future will not be a re-edition of the past, because the very place where decisions are taken is changing.</p><p>Until now, when we spoke of &#8220;scale,&#8221; we referred to identical decisions applied to many. What changes with automated AI systems is something else entirely: the ability to apply general rules differently to each person, in real time. Scale is no longer merely about how many are affected by decisions, but about how each citizen can be affected in a personalised way.</p><p>It is in this context that a silent fragility of our democratic apparatus becomes visible. The Constitution was designed for a world of human decisions&#8212;identifiable and contestable. When decisions are executed by automated intelligent systems, rights remain in the text but lose practical effectiveness: it is no longer clear who decides, whom to ask for explanations, or where to exercise the right of challenge.</p><p>In light of this, the answer is not a constitutional revision. The problem is not the lack of laws, but the displacement of power toward processes that operate outside the normal reach of democratic accountability. When power loses its face, legalism always arrives too late.</p><p>Even when the impact of technology was rarely mentioned in the public sphere, the framing remained generic, centred on adaptation and professional re-skilling. Without detracting from the merit of those who at least touched on the issue (I detected only the case of Cotrim de Figueiredo), this mainly reveals a collective difficulty in formulating the problem, when what is at stake is the transformation of the very mechanisms of decision-making, responsibility, and power.</p><p>This is where magistracy of influence becomes decisive: the institutional capacity to demonstrate, before public opinion, where and how decisions are made before they normalize without scrutiny. Intelligent decisions at the instrumental level can be obtuse at the democratic level and even from a human perspective. In the time ahead, ethical and civic discernment will matter more than political experience or the mere ability to mediate interests. </p><p>That role has already been exercised among us. In 2021, the President of the Republic vetoed a bill that would have allowed the use of facial recognition technologies in public spaces. This was not a rejection of the technology itself, but a judgment that the safeguards offered to citizens were insufficient. The veto did not solve the technical problem. Still, it prevented automated decisions with direct impact on concrete individuals from becoming the norm without public debate or clear assumption of responsibility.</p><p>These problems are not new, but AI makes them incomparably more intense. In the Netherlands, automated systems used to detect fraud in social benefits classified thousands of families as guilty without effective means of defence, repeating the error case by case until the damage became irreversible. Today, something similar happens with freedom of expression: automated systems decide who is removed, limited, or made invisible on digital platforms, in real time and in different ways for each person. What is new is not the error, but its speed, repetition, and depth. Once these decisions become part of the infrastructure, correcting them afterwards is no longer enough.</p><p>Democracies rarely collapse when someone decides too much.<br>They collapse when no one decides, and no one is accountable.</p><p>We are approaching that silent and fatal point for democracy.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading (De)Coding the Future! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🗞️ O Sentido do Dinheiro na Era da Inteligência Exponencial]]></title><description><![CDATA[&#127477;&#127481; Edi&#231;&#227;o Portuguesa &#8212; English version here.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/descodificar-o-futuro-10</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/descodificar-o-futuro-10</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 14 Nov 2025 13:59:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFH6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F25febe92-a811-4000-939a-bfdc124e39e8_720x872.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h5><strong>&#127477;&#127481; Edi&#231;&#227;o Portuguesa &#8212; English version <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/decoding-the-future-10">here</a>.<br></strong></h5><p>&#8220;Quando o trabalho aprende a pensar, o dinheiro deve aprender a fazer sentido.&#8221;<br>Dario Rodrigues </p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFH6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F25febe92-a811-4000-939a-bfdc124e39e8_720x872.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFH6!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F25febe92-a811-4000-939a-bfdc124e39e8_720x872.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFH6!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F25febe92-a811-4000-939a-bfdc124e39e8_720x872.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFH6!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F25febe92-a811-4000-939a-bfdc124e39e8_720x872.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFH6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F25febe92-a811-4000-939a-bfdc124e39e8_720x872.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFH6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F25febe92-a811-4000-939a-bfdc124e39e8_720x872.png" width="720" height="872" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/25febe92-a811-4000-939a-bfdc124e39e8_720x872.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:872,&quot;width&quot;:720,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:936965,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/i/178870248?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F25febe92-a811-4000-939a-bfdc124e39e8_720x872.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFH6!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F25febe92-a811-4000-939a-bfdc124e39e8_720x872.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFH6!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F25febe92-a811-4000-939a-bfdc124e39e8_720x872.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFH6!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F25febe92-a811-4000-939a-bfdc124e39e8_720x872.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFH6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F25febe92-a811-4000-939a-bfdc124e39e8_720x872.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2>O Sentido do Dinheiro na Era da Intelig&#234;ncia</h2><h4>Durante s&#233;culos, a economia assentou nos tr&#234;s fatores de produ&#231;&#227;o: terra, trabalho e capital.</h4><p>Tudo o que a humanidade construiu &#8212; do trigo &#224; Internet &#8212; nasceu deste trin&#243;mio primordial, hoje sintetizado no bin&#243;mio <strong>Trabalho + Capital</strong>.</p><p>Agora, pela primeira vez na hist&#243;ria, <strong>um dos fatores de produ&#231;&#227;o aprendeu a pensar</strong>:<br><em><strong>O Trabalho deixou de ser uma fun&#231;&#227;o exclusivamente humana.<br></strong></em><br><strong>Passaram a existir sistemas artificiais inteligentes que n&#227;o apenas executam, mas tamb&#233;m interpretam, decidem e criam. N&#227;o s&#227;o meras ferramentas, s&#227;o AGENTES!</strong><br><br>Na <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/newsletter-9-descodificar-o-futuro">edi&#231;&#227;o n&#186; 9</a>, vimos que o emprego se torna uma fun&#231;&#227;o cognitiva automatizada. <br><strong>Se o Trabalho muda desta forma,</strong> o que acontece ao outro fator de produ&#231;&#227;o?<br><strong>O que acontece ao Capital?</strong></p><p>A resposta emerge como a grande quest&#227;o civilizacional do nosso tempo:<br><strong>O dinheiro precisa de recuperar o sentido perdido com a inven&#231;&#227;o da moeda.<br><br>Nota do autor: para quem pensa que o dinheiro nasceu com a cria&#231;&#227;o da moeda, recomendo esta <a href="https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL5lH3lI2b1GLA0Na23V8DXPU9weNq-Wn8">s&#233;rie de v&#237;deos</a> (2024), em particular os epis&#243;dios 3 e 4.<br>Ainda como sugest&#227;o de investiga&#231;&#227;o, deixo esta <a href="https://www.igi-global.com/chapter/blockchanging-money/282336">refer&#234;ncia cient&#237;fica</a> (2021). </strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Obrigado por ler a minha newsletter. Subscreva!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><h3>&#129513; <strong>Quando o dinheiro deixou de ter alma</strong></h3><p>Sobretudo durante o s&#233;culo XX, o valor do capital foi reduzido a tr&#234;s coisas:</p><ul><li><p><strong>quantidade</strong>,</p></li><li><p><strong>acumula&#231;&#227;o</strong>,</p></li><li><p><strong>rendibilidade</strong>.</p></li></ul><p>O valor em quest&#227;o tornou-se um n&#250;mero sem mem&#243;ria: um saldo que nada revela sobre o que melhora, transforma ou reverte em benef&#237;cio da sociedade.<br>Como comprovado at&#233; &#224; exaust&#227;o, o lucro financeiro n&#227;o significa cria&#231;&#227;o, mas sim <strong>extra&#231;&#227;o de valor</strong>, gerando preju&#237;zos claros para as pr&#243;prias comunidades &#8212; n&#227;o fossem as guerras, para alguns, neg&#243;cios extraordinariamente lucrativos.</p><p>O dinheiro perdeu a alma &#8212; restou-lhe apenas a vertigem da velocidade.</p><p>Isto j&#225; seria suficientemente grave, mas tudo pode piorar quando o trabalho deixa de ser esfor&#231;o humano, pois o pr&#243;prio <strong>valor deixa de ter onde ancorar-se eticamente</strong>.<br>Na verdade, pode colapsar a rela&#231;&#227;o hist&#243;rica &#8220;trabalho &#8594; rendimento &#8594; vida&#8221;.<br>E isso obriga-nos a perguntar o que nunca pergunt&#225;mos:<br><br><em><strong>O que justifica o valor do dinheiro quando ele j&#225; n&#227;o representa trabalho humano?</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><h3>&#129504; <strong>A muta&#231;&#227;o silenciosa do capital</strong></h3><p>No ensaio visual <em><a href="https://youtu.be/7LeJyylrNis">A Future We Can Trust</a></em>, antevemos a resposta:<br>O capital n&#227;o pode continuar a ser apenas uma medida de posse &#8212; tem de tornar-se uma medida de <strong>prop&#243;sito</strong>.</p><p>Assim, o dinheiro <strong>recome&#231;a</strong> (tal como acontecia nos pequenos agrupamentos humanos de uma ancestral era pr&#233;-monet&#225;ria) a ser avaliado por tr&#234;s crit&#233;rios:</p><ol><li><p><strong>O bem que produz</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>O impacto que devolve</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>A confian&#231;a que gera</strong></p></li></ol><p>Esta mudan&#231;a ultrapassa a teoria &#8212; &#233; um <strong>retorno ao valor na sua forma original, quando <a href="https://youtu.be/nf29ZY-e9po">o dinheiro era, antes de tudo, um v&#237;nculo moral</a></strong>, indissoci&#225;vel do valor veiculado.<br><br>O matem&#225;tico e empreendedor <strong>Emad Mostaque aponta o mesmo caminho</strong>, antevendo o fim da economia tal e qual a conhecemos. Segundo ele, com o advento da intelig&#234;ncia exponencial e a automa&#231;&#227;o do trabalho cognitivo, o sistema capitalista s&#243; ser&#225; sustent&#225;vel se o capital passar a ser programado com prop&#243;sitos humanos orientados a benef&#237;cios concretos. Eu acrescento que apenas a descentraliza&#231;&#227;o digital de tais prop&#243;sitos poder&#225; defender a democracia.<br> <br><a href="https://ii.inc/web">O seu projeto</a> coloca em pr&#225;tica <a href="https://www.igi-global.com/book/political-economic-implications-blockchain-technology/262683">ideias simples, reformadoras e at&#233; revolucion&#225;rias</a>:</p><blockquote><p><strong>O valor deve ser rastre&#225;vel, verific&#225;vel e orientado a benef&#237;cios</strong>, n&#227;o apenas ao lucro meramente extrativo.</p></blockquote><p>Na vis&#227;o de Mostaque, <strong>o dinheiro do futuro n&#227;o ser&#225; apenas digital, mas tamb&#233;m&nbsp;intencional </strong>(program&#225;vel), por meio de contratos inteligentes (<em>smart contracts</em>) na nova <a href="http://ii.inc">Internet Inteligente</a>, expressando impacto social, ambiental e humano por meio de m&#233;tricas transparentes e algoritmos de confian&#231;a autoexecut&#225;veis.<br><br>A IA deixa de ser o problema e passa a ser a solu&#231;&#227;o &#8212; nomeadamente ao devolver alma ao capital de confian&#231;a &#233;tica que o dinheiro deveria representar (algo que, claramente, hoje n&#227;o faz).</p><div><hr></div><h4>O dinheiro perdeu a alma &#8212; restou-lhe apenas a vertigem da velocidade.</h4><h3>&#129517; <strong>A terap&#234;utica necess&#225;ria: valor no prop&#243;sito</strong></h3><p>Se o trabalho &#233; uma fun&#231;&#227;o algor&#237;tmica, ent&#227;o a economia precisa de outro princ&#237;pio organizador que n&#227;o o lucro imediato. Se o <em>Trabalho</em> passa a dispensar os seres humanos, ent&#227;o &#233; o <em>Capital</em> que tem de incorporar princ&#237;pios humanos.</p><p>O princ&#237;pio subjacente a tal requisito &#233; claro:<br><strong>O valor n&#227;o deve ser despesa ou receita &#8212; deve ser sentido e consequ&#234;ncia.</strong></p><p>Tal desiderato implica duas transforma&#231;&#245;es essenciais:</p><h4><strong>1. O dinheiro torna-se transparente face ao prop&#243;sito.</strong></h4><p>Com IA, blockchain e contabilidade de rastreabilidade total dos fluxos financeiros, o capital torna-se verific&#225;vel do ponto de vista moral. <br>Mais: gra&#231;as &#224; pr&#243;pria arquitetura da blockchain, esse acompanhamento pode ser realizado com garantias robustas de seguran&#231;a e privacidade. <br>Assim, o dinheiro pode tornar-se moralmente impoluto: sabendo-se para onde vai, o que financia e qual o seu impacto &#233;tico.</p><h4><strong>2. O investimento transforma-se em curadoria do futuro.</strong></h4><p>A voz do dono do capital deixa de responder &#224; pergunta &#8216;Quanto rende?&#8217; e passa a perguntar &#8216;Que mundo cria?&#8217;<br>&#201; aqui que o dinheiro volta a ter alma &#8212; quando se torna um ve&#237;culo de significado, e j&#225; n&#227;o apenas de retorno financeiro.</p><div><hr></div><h3>&#128293; <strong>Conclus&#227;o</strong></h3><p>O s&#233;culo XXI n&#227;o ser&#225; definido pela tecnologia que criamos, mas pelo sentido que damos ao valor de troca que circula na sociedade. Com a entrada do capital circulante em blockchains apoiadas por intelig&#234;ncia artificial, o dinheiro deixa de ser apenas um n&#250;mero e passa a transportar tamb&#233;m o que representa &#8212; como utilidade, impacto ou benef&#237;cio real &#8212; tudo na mesma unidade monet&#225;ria. </p><p>A IA permite avaliar esses impactos de forma sustent&#225;vel, cont&#237;nua e objetiva, fazendo com que cada token una e integre <em>valor de troca </em>(o que o dinheiro permite comprar) e <em>valor de uso</em> (o que o dinheiro realmente faz ou melhora).</p><p><em><strong>Assim, o capital torna-se transparente e orientado a prop&#243;sitos verdadeiramente humanos.</strong></em></p><p>O primeiro fator de produ&#231;&#227;o &#8212; o trabalho &#8212; j&#225; aprendeu a pensar.<br>Agora cabe ao segundo &#8212; o capital &#8212; <strong>aprender a devolver sentido humano &#224; sociedade</strong>. Esta mudan&#231;a &#233; poss&#237;vel com o novo dinheiro digital program&#225;vel, mas tudo depende de quem o programar. Por isso, a grande divis&#227;o pol&#237;tica do nosso tempo j&#225; n&#227;o &#233; entre esquerda e direita, mas entre abertura e opacidade digitais &#8212; entre descentraliza&#231;&#227;o e centraliza&#231;&#227;o.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Obrigado por ler a minha newsletter! Subscreva!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Meaning of Money in the Age of Exponential Intelligence]]></title><description><![CDATA[&#127468;&#127463; English Edition &#8212; Portuguese version here.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/decoding-the-future-10</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/decoding-the-future-10</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 14 Nov 2025 13:58:49 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F6RK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc691ebac-7f26-4fc3-a8ea-edbc7767ddc4_1024x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h5><strong>&#127468;&#127463; English Edition &#8212; Portuguese version <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/descodificar-o-futuro-10">here</a>.<br></strong></h5><p><strong>&#8220;When labour learns to think, money must learn to make sense.&#8221;</strong></p><p>Dario Rodrigues </p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F6RK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc691ebac-7f26-4fc3-a8ea-edbc7767ddc4_1024x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F6RK!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc691ebac-7f26-4fc3-a8ea-edbc7767ddc4_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F6RK!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc691ebac-7f26-4fc3-a8ea-edbc7767ddc4_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F6RK!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc691ebac-7f26-4fc3-a8ea-edbc7767ddc4_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F6RK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc691ebac-7f26-4fc3-a8ea-edbc7767ddc4_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F6RK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc691ebac-7f26-4fc3-a8ea-edbc7767ddc4_1024x1024.png" width="1024" height="1024" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F6RK!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc691ebac-7f26-4fc3-a8ea-edbc7767ddc4_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F6RK!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc691ebac-7f26-4fc3-a8ea-edbc7767ddc4_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F6RK!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc691ebac-7f26-4fc3-a8ea-edbc7767ddc4_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F6RK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc691ebac-7f26-4fc3-a8ea-edbc7767ddc4_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2>The Meaning of Money in the Age of Intelligence</h2><p>For centuries, the economy rested on the three production factors: <strong>Land, Labor, and Capital</strong>.</p><p>Everything humanity has built &#8212; from wheat to the Internet &#8212; emerged from this primordial trinity, which today survives mostly as a simplified pair: <strong>Labor + Capital</strong>.</p><p>Now, for the first time in history, <strong>one of these factors has learned to think</strong>.</p><p><em><strong>Labor is no longer an exclusively human function.</strong></em></p><p>Artificial intelligence systems now exist that not only execute tasks but also interpret, decide, and create.</p><p>They are not mere tools &#8212; they are <strong>AGENTS</strong>.</p><p>In <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/decoding-the-future-9">Issue n&#186; 9</a>, we saw that employment becomes an automated cognitive function.</p><p>So if <strong>Labor</strong> changes in this way, what happens to the other factor of production?</p><p>What happens to <strong>Capital</strong>?</p><p>The answer emerges as the great civilizational question of our time:</p><p><strong>Money must recover the sense it lost with the invention of coinage.</strong></p><p><em>Author&#8217;s note:</em> For those who still believe money was born with coinage, I recommend this <a href="https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL5lH3lI2b1GLA0Na23V8DXPU9weNq-Wn8">2024 video series</a> (especially episodes 3 and 4). For further study, you may look at this <a href="https://www.igi-global.com/chapter/blockchanging-money/282336">scientific reference</a> (2021).</p><h3><strong>&#129513; When Money Lost Its Soul</strong></h3><p>Especially throughout the 20th century, the value of <em>capital </em>was reduced to three things:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Quantity</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>Accumulation</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>Profitability</strong></p></li></ul><p>Value became a number without memory: a balance revealing nothing about what it improves, transforms, or returns to society.</p><p>As exhaustively demonstrated, financial profit often does not mean creation but rather <strong>the extraction of value</strong>, generating clear harm to communities themselves &#8212; wars, after all, remain extraordinarily lucrative businesses for some.</p><p><strong>Money lost its soul &#8212; all that remained was the vertigo of speed.</strong></p><p>This moral concern would already be serious enough, but matters worsen when <em>labor</em> ceases to be a human effort, because <strong>value itself loses its ethical anchor</strong>.</p><p>The historical chain &#8220;labor &#8594; income &#8594; life&#8221; shows signs of collapse.</p><p>And this forces us to ask what we have never asked:</p><p><em><strong>What justifies the value of money when it no longer represents human work?</strong></em></p><h3><strong>&#129504; The Silent Mutation of Capital</strong></h3><p>In the visual essay <em><a href="https://youtu.be/MhsPv_lUPCw">A Future We Can Trust</a></em>, we glimpse the answer:</p><p>Capital can no longer be merely a measure of possession &#8212; it must become a measure of <strong>purpose</strong>.</p><p>Thus, money again (as in the small human groups of a pre-monetary era) begins to be assessed according to three criteria:</p><ul><li><p><strong>The good it produces</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>The impact it returns</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>The trust it generates</strong></p></li></ul><p>This transformation goes beyond theory &#8212; it is a return to value in its original form, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nf29ZY-e9po">when money was above all a </a><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nf29ZY-e9po">moral bond</a></strong>, inseparable from the meaning it conveyed.</p><p>Mathematician and entrepreneur <strong>Emad Mostaque</strong> points in the same direction, foreseeing the end of the economy as we know it.</p><p>According to him, with the advent of exponential intelligence and the automation of cognitive labor, the capitalist system will only remain sustainable if capital becomes purpose-programmed and oriented toward genuinely human benefit. I would add that only the <em>digital decentralization of such purposes</em> can safeguard democracy.</p><p><a href="https://ii.inc/web">His project</a> puts into practice simple, <a href="https://www.igi-global.com/book/political-economic-implications-blockchain-technology/262683">reformative, and even revolutionary principles</a>:</p><p><strong>Value must be traceable, verifiable, and oriented toward benefits &#8212; not merely extractive profit.</strong></p><p>In Mostaque&#8217;s vision, the money of the future will not only be digital but also <strong>intentional</strong> (programmable), through smart contracts in the new <a href="https://www.igi-global.com/book/political-economic-implications-blockchain-technology/262683">Intelligent Internet</a>, expressing social, environmental, and human impact through transparent metrics and self-executing trust algorithms.</p><p>AI ceases to be the problem and becomes the solution &#8212; namely, by <strong>restoring soul to the trust-capital that money is meant to ethically represent</strong> (something it obviously does not do today).</p><h3><strong>&#129517; The Necessary Remedy: Value as Purpose</strong></h3><p>If labor itself becomes an algorithmic function, then the economy needs a new organising principle that is not immediate profit.</p><p>If labor becomes an algorithmic function, then the economy needs a different organising principle than immediate profit.<strong> If Labor begins to dispense with human beings, then it is Capital that must once again incorporate human principles.</strong></p><p>The principle underlying this requirement is clear:</p><p><strong>Value should not be an expense or a revenue; it should be meaning and consequence.</strong></p><p><strong>This aim entails two essential transformations:</strong></p><h4><strong>1. Money becomes transparent to purpose.</strong></h4><p>With AI, blockchain, and full traceability of financial flows, capital becomes morally verifiable.</p><p>More: thanks to blockchain&#8217;s very architecture, such verification can be carried out with robust guarantees of privacy and security.</p><p>Thus, money can become ethically clean: we can know where it goes, what it finances, and its moral impact.</p><h4><strong>2. Investment becomes curation of the future.</strong></h4><p>The voice of Capital&#8217;s owner stops answering the question <em>&#8220;How much does it yield?&#8221;</em> and begins to ask <em>&#8220;What world does it create?&#8221;</em></p><p>That is when money regains its soul &#8212; when it becomes a vehicle of meaning, not merely of financial return.</p><h3><strong>&#128293; Conclusion</strong></h3><p>The 21st century will not be defined by the technology we create, but by the <strong>meaning we give to the value that circulates in society</strong>.</p><p>With circulating capital entering AI-powered blockchains, money ceases to be just a number. It begins to carry what it represents &#8212; utility, impact, real benefit &#8212; all within the same monetary unit.</p><p>AI allows these impacts to be assessed sustainably, continuously, and objectively, enabling each token to unite and integrate <strong>exchange value</strong> (what money allows purchase) and <strong>use value</strong> (what money actually does or improves).</p><p><em><strong>Capital thus will become transparent and aligned with truly human purposes.</strong></em></p><p>The first factor of production &#8212; <strong>Labor</strong> &#8212; has learned to think.</p><p>The second &#8212; <strong>Capital</strong> &#8212; must now learn to <strong>return meaning to society</strong>.</p><p>This change is possible with programmable digital money, and everything depends on <strong>who programs it</strong>. Therefore, the great political divide of our time is no longer between left and right but between digital openness and digital opacity &#8212; between decentralization and centralization.<br><br><strong>Dario Rodrigues</strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🧭 The End of Cognitive "White Collar" Jobs]]></title><description><![CDATA[&#127468;&#127463; English edition &#8212; Portuguese version here.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/decoding-the-future-9</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/decoding-the-future-9</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 05 Nov 2025 18:37:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hi6c!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F176a0a08-7ae7-40e1-9310-8ca93ee78732_1024x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h5><strong>&#127468;&#127463; English edition &#8212; Portuguese version <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/newsletter-9-descodificar-o-futuro">here</a>.</strong></h5><blockquote><p>&#8220;When intellectual work is automated, unemployment ceases to be an economic problem: it becomes a civilizational question.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dario Rodrigues</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hi6c!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F176a0a08-7ae7-40e1-9310-8ca93ee78732_1024x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hi6c!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F176a0a08-7ae7-40e1-9310-8ca93ee78732_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hi6c!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F176a0a08-7ae7-40e1-9310-8ca93ee78732_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hi6c!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F176a0a08-7ae7-40e1-9310-8ca93ee78732_1024x1024.png 1272w, 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hi6c!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F176a0a08-7ae7-40e1-9310-8ca93ee78732_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hi6c!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F176a0a08-7ae7-40e1-9310-8ca93ee78732_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hi6c!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F176a0a08-7ae7-40e1-9310-8ca93ee78732_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hi6c!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F176a0a08-7ae7-40e1-9310-8ca93ee78732_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h3><strong>The &#8220;job&#8221; that thinks for you &#8212; and soon, for itself.</strong></h3><p>As <strong>generative AI</strong> evolves from assistance to <strong>autonomous cognition</strong>, even high-skilled professions are being automated.<br><a href="https://www.finextra.com/newsarticle/46795/openai-hires-wall-street-bankers-to-train-ai-in-financial-models?">OpenAI is hiring former Wall Street bankers</a> to teach algorithms how to <strong>automate financial work</strong> &#8212; a perfect symbol of our age, where today&#8217;s experts are training the AI that will replace them tomorrow.</p><p>For centuries, technology has displaced physical labor.<br>Now, for the first time, machines don&#8217;t just <em>do</em> &#8212; they <em>think</em>, <em>decide</em>, and <em>create</em>.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts </p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>&#8220;White-collar&#8221; jobs &#8212; once symbols of stability and status &#8212; are becoming an endangered species. Consultants, managers, lawyers, and marketers are being replaced by generative systems with exponential intelligence and zero marginal cost that think and work for them.</p><p>As the remuneration for answers approaches zero (a reality that the ubiquity of robotics will extend to the physical world within a few years), it seems obvious that education should focus first on the questions&#8230;</p><p>The dilemma is not only economic; it is ethical and educational.</p><p>How can a society be prepared for unprecedented levels of cognitive (and not only) unemployment when not everyone has an entrepreneurial spirit or the ability to reinvent themselves?</p><h3><strong>The dual path of response</strong></h3><p>The transition is inevitable, but it need not be traumatic.<br>A timely therapy requires two complementary paths:</p><ol><li><p><strong>Revolutionize vocational education.</strong><br>The entire technical education system must focus on developing skills in entrepreneurship, applied creativity, and autonomous problem-solving.<br>The goal is no longer to train employees &#8212; but creators of solutions.</p></li><li><p><strong>Create an &#8220;economic transition cushion.&#8221;</strong><br>A fair and intelligent support network must sustain those who are less able to adapt to the pace of the transition to a new &#8220;economy&#8221; of abundance.<br>This is not about welfare, but about time purchased with dignity &#8212; a social investment in reintegrating each citizen into the new productive cycle.<br>Such an investment signals a civilizational shift: capital will no longer be measured by the profit it extracts, but by the meaning it returns to society.</p></li></ol><p>Technological unemployment is not the end of work &#8212; it is the beginning of another form of human usefulness.<br>If work learns to think, then money must learn to make sense.</p><div><hr></div><h3>&#128284; <strong>In the Next Issue</strong></h3><p>If work must relearn how to create meaning,<br>the next question is whether <strong>money</strong> still has any.<br><em>(Issue #10 &#8212; &#8220;When Money Learns to Make Sense&#8221;)</em></p><div><hr></div><h3>&#127909; <strong>Preview &#8212; Visual Essay</strong></h3><p><strong>A Future We Can Trust</strong><br>&#128253;&#65039; A <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MhsPv_lUPCw">video reflection</a> on the new moral architecture of value &#8212; where code learns to serve meaning.<br></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts </p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🧭 O Fim do Emprego Cognitivo “Colarinho Branco”]]></title><description><![CDATA[&#127477;&#127481; Edi&#231;&#227;o Portuguesa &#8212; English version here.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-9-descodificar-o-futuro</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-9-descodificar-o-futuro</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 05 Nov 2025 18:21:44 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l0L0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0fe716e7-0c75-4e3c-8f5d-0bf5f08c104b_1024x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h5><strong>&#127477;&#127481; Edi&#231;&#227;o Portuguesa &#8212; English version <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/decoding-the-future-9">here</a>.</strong></h5><blockquote><p>&#8220;Quando o trabalho intelectual &#233; automatizado, o desemprego deixa de ser um problema econ&#243;mico: torna-se uma quest&#227;o civilizacional.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dario Rodrigues</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l0L0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0fe716e7-0c75-4e3c-8f5d-0bf5f08c104b_1024x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l0L0!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0fe716e7-0c75-4e3c-8f5d-0bf5f08c104b_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l0L0!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0fe716e7-0c75-4e3c-8f5d-0bf5f08c104b_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l0L0!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0fe716e7-0c75-4e3c-8f5d-0bf5f08c104b_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l0L0!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0fe716e7-0c75-4e3c-8f5d-0bf5f08c104b_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l0L0!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0fe716e7-0c75-4e3c-8f5d-0bf5f08c104b_1024x1024.png" width="1024" height="1024" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0fe716e7-0c75-4e3c-8f5d-0bf5f08c104b_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1024,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2054915,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/i/178100813?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0fe716e7-0c75-4e3c-8f5d-0bf5f08c104b_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l0L0!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0fe716e7-0c75-4e3c-8f5d-0bf5f08c104b_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l0L0!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0fe716e7-0c75-4e3c-8f5d-0bf5f08c104b_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l0L0!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0fe716e7-0c75-4e3c-8f5d-0bf5f08c104b_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l0L0!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0fe716e7-0c75-4e3c-8f5d-0bf5f08c104b_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h3><strong>O &#8220;emprego&#8221; que pensa por si &#8212; e em breve por si pr&#243;prio</strong></h3><p>&#192; medida que a <strong>IA generativa</strong> evolui da assist&#234;ncia para a <strong>autonomia cognitiva</strong>, at&#233; as profiss&#245;es mais qualificadas enfrentam a <strong>automa&#231;&#227;o do pensamento</strong>.</p><p><a href="https://www.finextra.com/newsarticle/46795/openai-hires-wall-street-bankers-to-train-ai-in-financial-models?">A OpenAI est&#225; a contratar ex-banqueiros</a> para ensinar os algoritmos a <strong>automatizar o trabalho financeiro</strong> &#8212; um s&#237;mbolo perfeito do nosso tempo: os especialistas de hoje treinam a intelig&#234;ncia artificial que os substituir&#225; amanh&#227;.<br><br>Durante s&#233;culos, a tecnologia substituiu, sobretudo, o trabalho manual.<br>Agora, pela primeira vez, a m&#225;quina j&#225; n&#227;o apenas <strong>faz</strong> &#8212; tamb&#233;m <strong>pensa</strong>, <strong>decide</strong> e <strong>cria</strong>.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Subscreva gr&#225;tis e receba novas edi&#231;&#245;es:</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Os empregos &#8220;colarinho branco&#8221; (&#8220;white collar&#8221;), outrora s&#237;mbolo de estabilidade e estatuto, tornam-se uma esp&#233;cie em vias de extin&#231;&#227;o. Consultores, gestores, juristas e <em>marketers</em> cedem lugar a sistemas generativos com intelig&#234;ncia exponencial e custo marginal nulo que pensam e trabalham por eles.<br><br>Quando a remunera&#231;&#227;o das respostas tende para zero (uma realidade que a ubiquidade da rob&#243;tica estender&#225; ao mundo f&#237;sico em poucos anos), parece &#243;bvio que o ensino dever&#225; incidir antes nas perguntas&#8230; </p><p>O dilema n&#227;o &#233; apenas econ&#243;mico; &#233; <strong>&#233;tico e educativo</strong>.<br><br>Como preparar uma sociedade para n&#237;veis in&#233;ditos de desemprego cognitivo (e n&#227;o s&#243;), quando nem todos t&#234;m esp&#237;rito empreendedor ou capacidade de reinven&#231;&#227;o?</p><div><hr></div><h3><strong>O duplo caminho da resposta</strong></h3><p>A transi&#231;&#227;o &#233; inevit&#225;vel, mas n&#227;o precisa de ser traum&#225;tica.<br>Uma terap&#234;utica atempada exige duas vias complementares:</p><p><strong>1. Revolucionar o ensino profissionalizante.<br></strong><br>Todo o sistema de educa&#231;&#227;o t&#233;cnica deve centrar-se na&nbsp;<strong>forma&#231;&#227;o de compet&#234;ncias em empreendedorismo</strong>, criatividade aplicada e resolu&#231;&#227;o aut&#243;noma de problemas.<br>O objetivo j&#225; n&#227;o &#233; formar empregados &#8212; &#233; formar <strong>identificadores e criadores de solu&#231;&#245;es</strong>.</p><p><strong>2. Criar uma &#8220;almofada econ&#243;mica de transi&#231;&#227;o.&#8221;<br></strong><br>Uma rede de suporte justa e inteligente deve amparar os menos aptos a adaptar-se &#224; rapidez da nova economia.<br>N&#227;o se trata de assistencialismo, mas de <strong>tempo comprado com dignidade</strong> &#8212; um investimento social na reintegra&#231;&#227;o de cada cidad&#227;o no novo ciclo produtivo.<br><strong>Esse investimento sinaliza uma muta&#231;&#227;o civilizacional: o capital passar&#225; a ser medido n&#227;o pelo lucro que extrai, mas pelo sentido que devolve &#224; sociedade.</strong></p><p>O desemprego tecnol&#243;gico n&#227;o &#233; o fim do trabalho &#8212; &#233; o in&#237;cio de outra forma de utilidade humana.<br>Se o trabalho aprende a pensar, o dinheiro deve aprender a <strong>fazer sentido</strong>.<br><br>&#127909; <strong>Antevis&#227;o da pr&#243;xima edi&#231;&#227;o &#8212; Ensaio Visual</strong></p><p><strong>A Future We Can Trust</strong><br>&#128253;&#65039; Uma <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7LeJyylrNis">reflex&#227;o em v&#237;deo</a> sobre a nova arquitetura moral do valor &#8212;em que o c&#243;digo aprende a servir a confian&#231;a, o conhecimento e o verdadeiro desenvolvimento humano.<br></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Obrigado pela leitura! Subscreva a Newsletter!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Rising Line: The Age of "Infinite" Computing (1939-2025)]]></title><description><![CDATA[&#127468;&#127463; English edition &#8212; Portuguese version here.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/decoding-the-future-8</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/decoding-the-future-8</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 25 Oct 2025 17:36:15 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h5><strong>&#127468;&#127463; English edition &#8212; Portuguese version <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/publish/post/177097772">here</a>.</strong></h5><blockquote><blockquote><p>&#8220;The code no longer merely executes orders &#8212; it writes them.&#8221;<br><em>Dario Rodrigues (2025)</em></p></blockquote></blockquote><p><em>Intelligence becomes abundant. Value becomes programmable. And trust becomes automated.</em></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg" width="960" height="535" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/add513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:535,&quot;width&quot;:960,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Pode ser uma imagem de texto que diz \&quot;PRICE PERFORMANCE OF COMPUTATION, 1939-2024 Best achieved price performance in computations per second per constant 2024 dollar 1,000,000,000,000 1 000 .000, .000,000 000, .000 100,000,000,000 00 0,000,000,000 .000 000, 10,000,000,000 000 1,000,000,000 .000, 000, 000 ERA 100 100,000,000 10,000,000 1,000,000 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 10 1.0 0.01 0.01 0.001 0. 0. . .00001 00001 :000 .0001 0.000000 0 1935 And it's very much a straight line. 1995 2025\&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Pode ser uma imagem de texto que diz \&quot;PRICE PERFORMANCE OF COMPUTATION, 1939-2024 Best achieved price performance in computations per second per constant 2024 dollar 1,000,000,000,000 1 000 .000, .000,000 000, .000 100,000,000,000 00 0,000,000,000 .000 000, 10,000,000,000 000 1,000,000,000 .000, 000, 000 ERA 100 100,000,000 10,000,000 1,000,000 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 10 1.0 0.01 0.01 0.001 0. 0. . .00001 00001 :000 .0001 0.000000 0 1935 And it's very much a straight line. 1995 2025\&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Pode ser uma imagem de texto que diz &quot;PRICE PERFORMANCE OF COMPUTATION, 1939-2024 Best achieved price performance in computations per second per constant 2024 dollar 1,000,000,000,000 1 000 .000, .000,000 000, .000 100,000,000,000 00 0,000,000,000 .000 000, 10,000,000,000 000 1,000,000,000 .000, 000, 000 ERA 100 100,000,000 10,000,000 1,000,000 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 10 1.0 0.01 0.01 0.001 0. 0. . .00001 00001 :000 .0001 0.000000 0 1935 And it's very much a straight line. 1995 2025&quot;" title="Pode ser uma imagem de texto que diz &quot;PRICE PERFORMANCE OF COMPUTATION, 1939-2024 Best achieved price performance in computations per second per constant 2024 dollar 1,000,000,000,000 1 000 .000, .000,000 000, .000 100,000,000,000 00 0,000,000,000 .000 000, 10,000,000,000 000 1,000,000,000 .000, 000, 000 ERA 100 100,000,000 10,000,000 1,000,000 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 10 1.0 0.01 0.01 0.001 0. 0. . .00001 00001 :000 .0001 0.000000 0 1935 And it's very much a straight line. 1995 2025&quot;" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h6>Source: Kurzweil, Ray. (2024). <em>Price-Performance of Computation, 1939-2024</em>. The Kurzweil Library &#8211; SIN Charts. Available at: <a href="https://www.thekurzweillibrary.com/sin-charts?utm_source=chatgpt.com">https://www.thekurzweillibrary.com/sin-charts</a> . Retrieved in 24th de October 2025.</h6><h3>1. The Price of Thinking</h3><p>Since 1939, the cost of computing has fallen by more than a billionfold.</p><p>The chart is clear: on a logarithmic scale, it&#8217;s a line that keeps climbing&#8212;and it never stops.</p><p>With every new generation of chips, the cost of processing information drops, capacity grows, and demand expands.</p><p>It&#8217;s the old law of supply and demand: <strong>the more accessible computing becomes, the more we need it.</strong></p><p>Hence, the global race for data centers&#8212;vast reservoirs of cognitive energy that feed artificial intelligence.</p><p>Yet there&#8217;s a decisive point that often goes unnoticed: <strong>the more AI becomes available, the cheaper it gets to produce each new unit of intelligence&#8212;and the cost of generating additional thought and labor approaches zero.</strong></p><p>First, the cost of intellectual labor disappears&#8212;both<strong> repetitive and creative, technical and cognitive.</strong></p><p>Then, <strong>robotization makes physical labor almost free&#8212;first the standardized, then nearly all of it.</strong></p><p>As automation removes labor scarcity, its economic value plunges.</p><p>It is the <strong>price of abundance.</strong></p><p>The brute force of computation remains indispensable to sustain the infrastructure of artificial intelligence&#8212;to train models, process data, and power global networks of decision.</p><p>Yet brute force alone is no longer enough to create <strong>value, meaning, or trust.</strong></p><p>What now matters is the <strong>direction</strong> of this abundant calculation, the <strong>sense</strong> of distributed intelligent processing, and the <strong>purpose</strong> of shared knowledge.</p><h3>2. From Energy to Value</h3><p>When the capacity to think with machines becomes practically free, <strong>the effort associated with such work ceases to be scarce.</strong></p><p>And in economics, <strong>anything that ceases to be scarce loses value.</strong></p><p>Thus, <strong>what now serves to measure value is no longer the effort something embodies but the practical result it produces</strong>&#8212;its utility, impact, and benefit.</p><p><em>A text may take hours to write by a human or seconds to generate by an AI; its value will no longer depend on the time or labor invested but on the relevance of what it communicates.</em></p><p>This is where the new digital money comes in: <strong>stablecoins, tokens, and smart contracts.</strong></p><p>These decentralized systems connect <strong>computational power to the verification of community benefits</strong>, converting energy and information into <strong>economic trust.</strong></p><p>Cryptocurrencies thus cease to be mere means of payment and become <strong>instruments of validation</strong>, proving that something has happened, and are worth only insofar as that something brings real value to the communities that use them.</p><p>To understand this, one must grasp what smart contracts are.</p><p>They are the bridge between <strong>the AI that decides</strong> and <strong>the blockchain that guarantees.</strong></p><p>These are self-executing programs that carry out agreements when real-world conditions are met, translating human trust into verifiable code.</p><p>It is this guarantee of automatic execution that enables distributed trust.</p><p>For example, cryptocurrencies can <strong>pay a farmer</strong> as soon as a sensor confirms a harvest delivery, <strong>compensate an environmental project</strong> when data confirms a reduction in carbon emissions, or <strong>settle an insurance claim</strong> the moment a vehicle is detected as immobilized after an accident.</p><p>They can also <strong>remunerate an artist</strong> whenever a digital work is viewed or played, <strong>release research funds</strong> once results are peer-validated, or <strong>issue verified learning certificates</strong> upon a student&#8217;s completion of an accredited online course.</p><p>In more sensitive ethical contexts, they can <strong>finance healthcare</strong> only when clinical indicators confirm improvement, <strong>distribute humanitarian aid</strong> exclusively to those in verified crisis zones, or <strong>grant micro-payments to students</strong> in vulnerable regions upon meeting learning milestones.</p><p>Even in global logistics, <strong>payments for shipping and storage</strong> can be released as soon as GPS confirms delivery and independent sensors (e.g., thermometers) validate cargo quality.</p><p>In simple terms, <strong>AI produces knowledge, and blockchain ensures trust.</strong></p><p>Together, they form <strong>a new verification economy&#8212;a crypto-economy&#8212;where value is not born of effort or scarcity, but of proven benefit.</strong></p><h3>3. &#128167; The Old Paradox of Value</h3><p>Adam Smith called it the <em>paradox of water and diamonds</em>:</p><p><em>Water is essential to life, yet it is cheap.</em></p><p><em>Diamonds are useless, yet expensive.</em></p><p>During the twentieth and early twenty-first centuries, the digital economy repeated this dilemma.</p><p>Knowledge&#8212;abundant and vital&#8212;became worth less than the attention it attracted, and <strong>exchange value came to reside in data, clicks, and advertisements.</strong></p><p>However, this monetization of attention carried a hidden cost: <strong>it turned polarization into a business model.</strong></p><p>To sharpen market segments meant more clicks per ad, but by rewarding outrage, shock, and division, digital platforms <strong>fractured the public sphere and eroded the very foundation of democratic trust.</strong></p><p>Fortunately, the paradigm may now be shifting.</p><p>With AI, decentralized digital money, and smart contracts, it becomes possible to <strong>measure and reward real use-value</strong>&#8212;the benefit something generates, the positive impact it produces, and the meaning it adds.</p><p>Utility ceases to be invisible: <strong>value is no longer a promise but a measurable effect</strong>, verified by the impact it produces within the communities through which it circulates&#8212;like<em> a carbon credit that is worth something only if the forest truly exists, or an energy token that retains value only if it genuinely brings light to people&#8217;s lives.</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The digital diamond of the future will not be the rare datum but the brilliance of its benefit.&#8221;</em></p><h3>4. The Ethical Consequence</h3><p>As the cost of thinking approaches zero, <strong>morality becomes the new scarcity.</strong></p><p>The exchange value of goods and services is no longer defined merely by price but by <strong>a meaning recognized as ethical</strong>, measured through verified usefulness within the communities that trade them.</p><p>The rise of <strong>an economy of verifiable benefits</strong>&#8212;where value is born from the good that is proven rather than the exhausted effort&#8212;signals a shift in which <strong>work gives way to purpose, and calculation is shaped by collective conscience.</strong></p><p>The proliferation of data centers will only make sense if the energy they consume returns to the world as <strong>knowledge, utility, and well-being.</strong></p><p>For the challenge is no longer to calculate more but<strong> to understand better</strong>&#8212;to give the energy that powers artificial intelligence a truly human purpose.</p><p>&#129718; <em>Less energy per idea. More meaning per watt.<br><br></em><strong>Dario Rodrigues</strong></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🧭 A Reta que Sobe: a Era da Computação "Infinita" (1939-2025)]]></title><description><![CDATA[&#127477;&#127481; Edi&#231;&#227;o Portuguesa &#8212; English version here.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-descodificar-o-futuro</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-descodificar-o-futuro</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 25 Oct 2025 17:23:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h5><strong>&#127477;&#127481; Edi&#231;&#227;o Portuguesa &#8212; English version <a href="https://open.substack.com/pub/dariorodrigues/p/decoding-the-future-8?r=734ip&amp;utm_campaign=post&amp;utm_medium=web&amp;showWelcomeOnShare=true">here</a>.</strong></h5><blockquote><blockquote><p>&#8220;O c&#243;digo j&#225; n&#227;o apenas executa ordens, escreve-as.&#8221;<br><em>Dario Rodrigues (2025)</em></p></blockquote></blockquote><p><em>A intelig&#234;ncia torna-se abundante. O valor &#233; program&#225;vel. E a confian&#231;a, automatizada.</em></p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg" width="960" height="535" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/add513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:535,&quot;width&quot;:960,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Pode ser uma imagem de texto que diz \&quot;PRICE PERFORMANCE OF COMPUTATION, 1939-2024 Best achieved price performance in computations per second per constant 2024 dollar 1,000,000,000,000 1 000 .000, .000,000 000, .000 100,000,000,000 00 0,000,000,000 .000 000, 10,000,000,000 000 1,000,000,000 .000, 000, 000 ERA 100 100,000,000 10,000,000 1,000,000 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 10 1.0 0.01 0.01 0.001 0. 0. . .00001 00001 :000 .0001 0.000000 0 1935 And it's very much a straight line. 1995 2025\&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Pode ser uma imagem de texto que diz &quot;PRICE PERFORMANCE OF COMPUTATION, 1939-2024 Best achieved price performance in computations per second per constant 2024 dollar 1,000,000,000,000 1 000 .000, .000,000 000, .000 100,000,000,000 00 0,000,000,000 .000 000, 10,000,000,000 000 1,000,000,000 .000, 000, 000 ERA 100 100,000,000 10,000,000 1,000,000 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 10 1.0 0.01 0.01 0.001 0. 0. . .00001 00001 :000 .0001 0.000000 0 1935 And it's very much a straight line. 1995 2025&quot;" title="Pode ser uma imagem de texto que diz &quot;PRICE PERFORMANCE OF COMPUTATION, 1939-2024 Best achieved price performance in computations per second per constant 2024 dollar 1,000,000,000,000 1 000 .000, .000,000 000, .000 100,000,000,000 00 0,000,000,000 .000 000, 10,000,000,000 000 1,000,000,000 .000, 000, 000 ERA 100 100,000,000 10,000,000 1,000,000 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 10 1.0 0.01 0.01 0.001 0. 0. . .00001 00001 :000 .0001 0.000000 0 1935 And it's very much a straight line. 1995 2025&quot;" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgFz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadd513f6-9bff-424f-af8e-dc9b2ef9999b_960x535.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h6>Fonte da imagem: Kurzweil, Ray. (2024). <em>Price-Performance of Computation, 1939-2024</em>. The Kurzweil Library &#8211; SIN Charts. Dispon&#237;vel em: <a href="https://www.thekurzweillibrary.com/sin-charts?utm_source=chatgpt.com">https://www.thekurzweillibrary.com/sin-charts</a> . Acedido em 24 de Outubro de 2025.</h6><h3>1. O pre&#231;o de pensar</h3><p>Desde 1939, o custo da computa&#231;&#227;o caiu mais de mil milh&#245;es de vezes.<br>O gr&#225;fico &#233; claro: em escala logar&#237;tmica, <strong>&#233; uma reta que sobe &#8212; e nunca parou.</strong><br>A cada nova gera&#231;&#227;o de chips, o pre&#231;o do processamento de informa&#231;&#227;o desce, a capacidade cresce e a procura expande-se.</p><p>&#201; a velha lei da oferta e da procura: <strong>quanto mais acess&#237;vel a computa&#231;&#227;o se torna, mais dela precisamos.</strong><br>Da&#237; a corrida global pelos <em>datacenters</em> &#8212; gigantescos reservat&#243;rios de energia cognitiva que alimentam a Intelig&#234;ncia Artificial.</p><p>Mas h&#225; um ponto decisivo que nem sempre se percebe &#224; primeira vista: <strong>quanto mais intelig&#234;ncia artificial estiver dispon&#237;vel, menos custar&#225; produzir cada nova unidade, e o pre&#231;o de gerar mais pensamento e trabalho cair&#225; praticamente a zero.</strong></p><p>Primeiro, desaparece o custo do trabalho intelectual &#8212; <strong>o repetitivo e o n&#227;o repetitivo, o t&#233;cnico e o criativo.</strong><br>Depois, <strong>a robotiza&#231;&#227;o tornar&#225; quase gratuito o esfor&#231;o f&#237;sico &#8212; primeiro o trabalho padronizado e, em seguida, o restante.</strong></p><p>&#192; medida que a automatiza&#231;&#227;o vai eliminando a escassez do trabalho, <strong>o seu valor econ&#243;mico desce a pique. &#201; o pre&#231;o da abund&#226;ncia&#8230;</strong><br>Como sabemos, a for&#231;a bruta da computa&#231;&#227;o &#233; considerada indispens&#225;vel para sustentar a infraestrutura da intelig&#234;ncia artificial &#8212; <strong>treinar modelos, processar dados, alimentar redes globais de decis&#227;o. No entanto, tal for&#231;a bruta n&#227;o &#233; suficiente para gerar valor, sentido ou confian&#231;a.</strong><br><strong>O que passa a ser crucial &#233; a dire&#231;&#227;o desse c&#225;lculo tornado abundante, o sentido do processamento inteligente distribu&#237;do e a finalidade do conhecimento partilhado.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h3>2. Da energia ao valor</h3><p>Quando a capacidade de pensar com as m&#225;quinas se torna praticamente gratuita, <strong>o esfor&#231;o associado ao trabalho assim realizado deixa de ser um recurso escasso.</strong><br>E, em economia, <strong>tudo o que deixa de ser escasso perde valor.</strong><br>Por isso, <strong>o que passa a servir para medir valor j&#225; n&#227;o &#233; o esfor&#231;o que algo traduz ou acarreta, mas o resultado &#250;til que da&#237; adv&#233;m</strong> &#8212; a utilidade, o impacto, o benef&#237;cio. </p><blockquote><p><em>Um texto pode levar horas a ser escrito por uma pessoa ou segundos a ser gerado por uma IA; <strong>a medi&#231;&#227;o do seu valor deixar&#225; de depender do trabalho despendido e do tempo gasto nessa produ&#231;&#227;o e ter&#225;, sim, a ver com a relev&#226;ncia daquilo que &#233; comunicado.</strong></em></p></blockquote><p>&#201; aqui que entra o novo dinheiro digital: <em>stablecoins</em>, <em>tokens</em> e <strong>contratos inteligentes</strong>.<br>Estes sistemas descentralizados ligam <strong>o poder da computa&#231;&#227;o &#224; verifica&#231;&#227;o de benef&#237;cios comunit&#225;rios</strong>, convertendo energia e informa&#231;&#227;o em <strong>confian&#231;a econ&#243;mica. </strong><br>Deste modo, as criptomoedas deixam de ser apenas meios de pagamento: tornam-se <strong>instrumentos de valida&#231;&#227;o</strong>, capazes de comprovar que algo aconteceu &#8212; e valer&#227;o na medida em que esse algo trouxer valor real &#224;s comunidades que as utilizam.</p><p>Para compreender isto, conv&#233;m perceber o que s&#227;o <strong>contratos inteligentes.</strong> Estes s&#227;o a ponte entre <strong>a intelig&#234;ncia artificial que decide</strong> e <strong>a tecnologia blockchain que garante.</strong><br>S&#227;o programas autom&#225;ticos que executam acordos quando as condi&#231;&#245;es reais previstas nas suas cl&#225;usulas s&#227;o cumpridas, catalisando a confian&#231;a humana gra&#231;as a c&#243;digo verific&#225;vel. &#201; essa garantia de autoexecu&#231;&#227;o que suscita confian&#231;a distribu&#237;da!<br>Por exemplo, as criptomoedas podem <strong>pagar a um agricultor assim que o sensor confirma a colheita entregue, compensar um projeto ambiental quando os dados atestam a redu&#231;&#227;o das emiss&#245;es de carbono, ou liquidar um seguro autom&#243;vel no momento em que o ve&#237;culo &#233; detectado como imobilizado ap&#243;s um acidente.</strong><br>Tamb&#233;m podem <strong>remunerar um artista sempre que a sua obra digital &#233; ouvida ou visualizada, transferir fundos de investiga&#231;&#227;o quando os resultados de um estudo s&#227;o validados por pares, ou emitir automaticamente certificados de aprendizagem ap&#243;s a conclus&#227;o de um curso online com aproveitamento comprovado</strong>.<br>Em contextos &#233;ticos mais sens&#237;veis, podem <strong>financiar cuidados de sa&#250;de apenas quando indicadores cl&#237;nicos confirmam melhorias, distribuir ajuda humanit&#225;ria somente a quem se encontra efetivamente em zonas de crise ou, ainda, garantir micropagamentos educativos</strong> a alunos de regi&#245;es vulner&#225;veis que completam metas de aprendizagem.<br>At&#233; na log&#237;stica global, as criptomoedas podem <strong>libertar o pagamento do transporte e da armazenagem de mercadorias assim que a entrega &#233; confirmada por GPS e a respetiva qualidade &#233;</strong> atestada por sensores independentes (<em>e.g</em>., term&#243;metros).</p><p>Em termos simples, <strong>a IA produz conhecimento</strong> e a <strong>blockchain garante confian&#231;a.</strong><br>Juntas, criam <strong>uma nova economia da verifica&#231;&#227;o</strong>, a criptoeconomia, em que o valor n&#227;o nasce do esfor&#231;o nem da escassez de recursos, mas <strong>do benef&#237;cio comprovado.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h3>3. &#128167; O velho paradoxo do valor</h3><p>Adam Smith chamou-lhe o <em>paradoxo da &#225;gua e do diamante</em>:</p><blockquote><p>a &#225;gua &#233; essencial &#224; vida, mas vale pouco;<br>o diamante &#233; sup&#233;rfluo, mas vale muito.</p></blockquote><p>Durante o s&#233;culo XX e no in&#237;cio do s&#233;culo XXI, a economia digital repetiu o mesmo dilema.<br>O conhecimento &#8212; abundante e vital &#8212; valeu menos do que suscitar a aten&#231;&#227;o.<br>O <strong>valor de troca</strong> passou a residir em<strong> dados, cliques e an&#250;ncios.<br><br></strong>Esta monetiza&#231;&#227;o da aten&#231;&#227;o teve um custo oculto: <strong>transformou a polariza&#231;&#227;o num modelo de neg&#243;cio. </strong>Vincar segmentos de mercado pode traduzir-se em mais cliques por an&#250;ncio, mas, ao premiar o choque, o extremar de posi&#231;&#245;es e a indigna&#231;&#227;o, as plataformas digitais acabaram por fragmentar a esfera p&#250;blica e degradar a pr&#243;pria base da confian&#231;a democr&#225;tica&#8230; </p><p>Agora, felizmente, o paradigma pode come&#231;ar a inverter-se. Com IA, dinheiro digital descentralizado e contratos inteligentes, torna-se poss&#237;vel <strong>medir e recompensar o valor de uso real</strong>, isto &#233;, o benef&#237;cio que algo gera, o impacto positivo que produz e o sentido que acrescenta.</p><p>A utilidade deixa de ser invis&#237;vel: <strong>o valor deixa de ser uma promessa e passa a ser medido pelo efeito verific&#225;vel que produz nas comunidades onde circula</strong> &#8212; como um cr&#233;dito de carbono que s&#243; vale se a floresta comprovadamente existir, ou um token energ&#233;tico que s&#243; mant&#233;m valor se iluminar realmente a vida comunit&#225;ria.</p><p><em>&#8220;O diamante digital do futuro n&#227;o ser&#225; o dado raro, mas o brilhantismo do seu benef&#237;cio.&#8221;</em></p><div><hr></div><h3>4. A consequ&#234;ncia &#233;tica</h3><p>Quando o custo de pensar tende para zero, <strong>a moral torna-se a nova escassez.</strong><br><strong>O valor de troca de um produto ou servi&#231;o deixa de ser determinado apenas pelo pre&#231;o, passando a ter um significado reconhecido como &#233;tico, nomeadamente pelo valor de uso verificado nas comunidades que o transacionam.</strong></p><p>O advento de uma <strong>economia de benef&#237;cios comprov&#225;veis &#8212; em que o valor nasce do bem que se verifica, e n&#227;o do esfor&#231;o que se esgota &#8212;</strong> traduz um paradigma em que o trabalho d&#225; lugar ao prop&#243;sito e o c&#225;lculo &#233; formulado pela consci&#234;ncia comunit&#225;ria.</p><p>A prolifera&#231;&#227;o de <em>datacenters</em> s&#243; ter&#225; sentido se a energia que consomem regressar ao mundo em forma de conhecimento, utilidade e bem-estar.<br>Porque <strong>o desafio n&#227;o &#233; calcular mais, e sim compreender melhor</strong> &#8212; para conferir &#224; energia que move a intelig&#234;ncia artificial um prop&#243;sito verdadeiramente humano.<strong><br></strong><br>&#129718; <em>Menos energia por ideia. Mais sentido por watt.</em></p><div><hr></div><p>Dario Rodrigues</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[From Trust to Algorithmic Discernment]]></title><description><![CDATA[When Intelligence Learns to Govern]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-7-decoding-the-future</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-7-decoding-the-future</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 18 Oct 2025 15:15:03 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JH8P!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34c04e30-93d1-4ca7-9ab8-283f4283aad1_1024x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h5><strong>&#127468;&#127463; English Edition &#8212; Portuguese version <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/newsletter-n-7-descodificar-o-futuro">here.</a></strong><br></h5><p>&#8220;Code no longer merely executes orders; it writes them.&#8221;<br> <em>Dario Rodrigues (2025)</em></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JH8P!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34c04e30-93d1-4ca7-9ab8-283f4283aad1_1024x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JH8P!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34c04e30-93d1-4ca7-9ab8-283f4283aad1_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JH8P!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34c04e30-93d1-4ca7-9ab8-283f4283aad1_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JH8P!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34c04e30-93d1-4ca7-9ab8-283f4283aad1_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JH8P!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34c04e30-93d1-4ca7-9ab8-283f4283aad1_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JH8P!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34c04e30-93d1-4ca7-9ab8-283f4283aad1_1024x1024.png" width="1024" height="1024" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/34c04e30-93d1-4ca7-9ab8-283f4283aad1_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1024,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1366455,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/i/176496217?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34c04e30-93d1-4ca7-9ab8-283f4283aad1_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JH8P!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34c04e30-93d1-4ca7-9ab8-283f4283aad1_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JH8P!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34c04e30-93d1-4ca7-9ab8-283f4283aad1_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JH8P!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34c04e30-93d1-4ca7-9ab8-283f4283aad1_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JH8P!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34c04e30-93d1-4ca7-9ab8-283f4283aad1_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>For decades, decentralization existed only as a political ideal</strong>&#8212;the dream of building trust without hierarchies.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p><strong>That only became technically possible on October 31st, 2008, </strong>when someone under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto published <a href="https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf">the </a><em><a href="https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf">Bitcoin white paper</a></em>: <strong>the moment when a political ideal found its technical substrate, and code began to perform governance functions by dispensing with intermediaries.</strong></p><p>That is why cryptocurrencies operate autonomously, without relying on banks.</p><p>Despite this historic breakthrough, <strong>humanity has so far harnessed only part of the civilizational potential of this new automation of trust.</strong></p><p>Until now, the absence of truly autonomous artificial intelligence has prevented the complete realization of the distributed-trust paradigm, confining this technological advance to the financial sphere&#8212;where profit-driven human motivation is the primary driver.</p><p>The result of this limitation is a <strong>gap between technical possibility and social maturity</strong>: code already enables transparent human societies, yet humans still hesitate to delegate trust to cryptographic protocols and intelligent machines.</p><p><strong>We fear what is different, when we should fear more of the same</strong>&#8212;especially as current formulas are no longer producing satisfactory results.</p><p><strong>War itself&#8212;fuelled by distrust, armed by fear, and made ever more lethal by technology&#8212;is a tragic example of the limitations of our current path.</strong></p><p>Falling behind is dramatic, for we live in a time when <strong>&#8220;trust is all you need.&#8221;</strong></p><p><strong>We cannot afford to waste the most precious and scarce resource of our century when we need it most: automated and verifiable trust.</strong></p><p>The new <strong>Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs)</strong>&#8212;that is, digital communities operating without leaders or intermediaries, in which rules and decisions are automatically executed by smart contracts recorded on blockchain networks&#8212;are redefining economic and social coordination.</p><p><strong>What once depended on human will and collective participation now relies on the predictive capacity of algorithms, achieving a form of operational discernment that anticipates and executes at superhuman speed.</strong></p><h3>&#129513; A Premonition Fulfilled</h3><p><strong>In a </strong><em><strong><a href="https://www.igi-global.com/book/political-economic-implications-blockchain-technology/262683">book</a></strong></em><strong> edited by the author and published by IGI-Global (2021), it was already foreseen that DAOs would become infrastructures capable of social and economic self-governance, operating through smart contracts and programmable tokens&#8212;a premonition now confirmed.</strong></p><p>In <strong>2025</strong>, examples such as the <strong><a href="https://hyperfoundation.org/">Hyperliquid DAO</a></strong>, which enables <strong>HYPE token</strong> holders to participate in the network&#8217;s governance and strategic decisions, bring this vision to life: the integration of artificial intelligence agents has brought DAOs to the forefront of reality.</p><p>These AI agents overcome the long-standing obstacle of low human participation, learn individual preferences, and execute decisions with algorithmic efficiency.</p><p><strong>It is not that AI replaces human communities in the strategic management of projects, but rather acts as a &#8220;cognitive coordinator,&#8221; analyzing behavioral patterns, liquidity flows, and preferences to propose or execute more efficient decisions.</strong></p><p>Thus, the premonition is fulfilled: <strong>DAOs are evolving into predictive and adaptive systems in which AI not only automates governance but also expands collective intelligence&#8212;making decentralized ecosystems more agile, informed, and, for the first time, truly self-governed.</strong></p><p>Although the HYPE token of the Hyperliquid DAO has a programmed issuance cap, its nature is not that of an asset intended for value retention, unlike Bitcoin. These are <strong>tokens with different utilities</strong>, demonstrating that digital money is not one-size-fits-all.</p><p>The purpose of HYPE is to optimize coordination and incentives within its ecosystem, rather than preserving monetary scarcity&#8212;unlike Bitcoin, which was conceived primarily as a digital savings and value-storage instrument.</p><p>Hence, it makes political and economic sense for HYPE&#8217;s <em>total supply</em> to be adjustable by the community: <strong>the token&#8217;s value derives less from scarcity and more from the utility it creates</strong>&#8212;whether by improving market efficiency, rewarding participants, or supporting adaptive governance mechanisms.</p><p>In short, <strong>scarcity gives way to utility as the new metric of value</strong>&#8212;a natural evolution when digital money acquires use-value beyond exchange-value.</p><p><strong>Naturally, everything changes when the two factors of production, labor and capital, meet again in the 21st century&#8212;this time on the same technological plane. </strong>It is as if Adam Smith and Karl Marx could finally engage in dialogue in service of the humanity that both sought to understand two centuries ago, when labor and capital inhabited irreconcilable spheres, measured through distinct units of value. Today, thanks to digital tokens and to the traceability and auditability infrastructures enabled by blockchain networks and AI, such reconciliation becomes technically and politically possible: <strong>Smith would realize that the evolution of technically verifiable labor makes the market&#8217;s &#8220;invisible hand&#8221; ethically visible. At the same time, Marx would recognize that auditable digital capital empowers collective action by emancipating itself from collectivism.</strong></p><h3>&#128260; From Trust to Intelligent Coordination</h3><p><strong>Blockchain taught the world to trust without intermediaries, creating a new kind of money that makes banks unnecessary and a new infrastructure for decentralized, transparent, and distributed coordination.</strong></p><p><strong>Now, artificial intelligence teaches the world to accelerate that coordination with competitively unmatched efficiency.</strong></p><p>The digital agents of the new DAOs analyze data in real time, anticipate trends, and optimize decisions to achieve supra-normal returns even before humans decide to act.</p><p><strong>In this paradigm shift, decentralization ceases to be merely structural and becomes a cognitive phenomenon.</strong></p><p>Decision-making automates and distributes.</p><p>Intelligence does too.</p><p>Just as the <strong>Internet of Information</strong> gave rise to the <strong>Internet of Value</strong>, this new phase marks the dawn of the <strong>Internet of Intelligence</strong>&#8212;a realm where continuously updated collective predictions guide every transaction, every vote, and every decision.</p><h3>&#129517; Ethical and Political Implications</h3><p><strong>If programmable money has brought verifiable integrity, AI-assisted DAOs bring predictable governance&#8212;but also new dilemmas:</strong></p><p><strong>Who programs ethical discernment?</strong></p><p><strong>Who supervises the algorithmic supervisors?</strong></p><p>The promise is one of efficiency, yet the risk lies in delegating too much power to machines whose statistical predictions shape our future.</p><p>Naturally, we must safeguard the transparency, interpretability, and explainability of these automatisms.</p><p><strong>The next ethical frontier will not only be about protecting privacy but also about ensuring the auditability of intelligence.</strong></p><h3>&#9878;&#65039; Legal Disclaimer</h3><h5>The content of this newsletter is for informational, educational, and analytical purposes only. References to tokens, platforms, companies, or technologies&#8212;including the Hyperliquid DAO and the HYPE token&#8212;are made solely for academic and contextual discussion. The author is not a licensed financial advisor or registered intermediary and does not provide investment, brokerage, or financial advisory services. Nothing in this publication constitutes investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any financial or digital assets. The author assumes no responsibility for investment decisions made based on the information herein. Readers should conduct their own research and, where appropriate, seek advice from duly authorized financial professionals.</h5><h3>&#128218; Reference</h3><p>Rodrigues, D. O., &amp; Santana Lopes, P. (2021). <em>Blockchanging Politics: Opening a Trustworthy but Hazardous Reforming Era. </em>In D. O. Rodrigues (Ed.), <em>Political and Economic Implications of Blockchain Technology in Business and Healthcare</em> (pp. 118&#8211;134). Hershey, PA: IGI Global.</p><h3>&#128172; Author&#8217;s Note</h3><p><strong>This edition of the newsletter marks the turning point between programmable trust and programmable intelligence&#8212;the threshold at which code ceases merely to obey and begins to comprehend.</strong></p><p><strong>The future may or may not be decentralized.</strong></p><p><strong>However, it will always depend on automated cognition.</strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Da Confiança ao Discernimento Algorítmico]]></title><description><![CDATA[Quando a Intelig&#234;ncia Aprende a Governar]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-n-7-descodificar-o-futuro</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-n-7-descodificar-o-futuro</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 18 Oct 2025 15:11:09 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WYt9!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef781bac-e3de-4143-935c-3496bb7b9390_1024x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h5><strong>&#127477;&#127481; Edi&#231;&#227;o Portuguesa &#8212; English version <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/newsletter-7-decoding-the-future">here</a>.</strong></h5><blockquote><p>&#8220;O c&#243;digo j&#225; n&#227;o apenas executa ordens, escreve-as.&#8221; <br><em>Dario Rodrigues (2025)</em></p></blockquote><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WYt9!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef781bac-e3de-4143-935c-3496bb7b9390_1024x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WYt9!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef781bac-e3de-4143-935c-3496bb7b9390_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WYt9!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef781bac-e3de-4143-935c-3496bb7b9390_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WYt9!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef781bac-e3de-4143-935c-3496bb7b9390_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WYt9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef781bac-e3de-4143-935c-3496bb7b9390_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WYt9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef781bac-e3de-4143-935c-3496bb7b9390_1024x1024.png" width="1024" height="1024" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ef781bac-e3de-4143-935c-3496bb7b9390_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1024,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1461897,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/i/176484955?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef781bac-e3de-4143-935c-3496bb7b9390_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WYt9!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef781bac-e3de-4143-935c-3496bb7b9390_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WYt9!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef781bac-e3de-4143-935c-3496bb7b9390_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WYt9!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef781bac-e3de-4143-935c-3496bb7b9390_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WYt9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef781bac-e3de-4143-935c-3496bb7b9390_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Durante d&#233;cadas, a descentraliza&#231;&#227;o existiu apenas como um ideal pol&#237;tico &#8212; o sonho de construir confian&#231;a sem hierarquias.<br>Tal apenas se tornou tecnicamente poss&#237;vel a 31 de outubro de 2008,</strong> quando algu&#233;m com o pseud&#243;nimo Satoshi Nakamoto publicou o <em><a href="https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf">white paper do Bitcoin</a></em>: foi <strong>o momento em que um ideal pol&#237;tico encontrou o seu substrato t&#233;cnico, e o c&#243;digo passou a exercer fun&#231;&#245;es de governa&#231;&#227;o ao dispensar intermedi&#225;rios.</strong><br>&#201; por isso que as criptomoedas funcionam de forma aut&#243;noma, sem depender de bancos.</p><p><strong>Apesar deste avan&#231;o hist&#243;rico, a humanidade tem aproveitado apenas parcialmente o potencial civilizacional da nova automatiza&#231;&#227;o da confian&#231;a.</strong><br>At&#233; agora, a aus&#234;ncia de uma intelig&#234;ncia artificial verdadeiramente aut&#243;noma impediu o desabrochar do paradigma da confian&#231;a distribu&#237;da, confinando esse avan&#231;o tecnol&#243;gico &#224; esfera financeira, na qual &#233; sobretudo a mira do lucro que vem instigando o zelo humano.<br><strong>O resultado desta limita&#231;&#227;o &#233; o desfasamento entre a possibilidade t&#233;cnica e a maturidade social: o c&#243;digo j&#225; permite sociedades humanas transparentes, mas os humanos ainda hesitam em delegar confian&#231;a a protocolos criptogr&#225;ficos e a m&#225;quinas inteligentes.</strong><br><strong>Receamos o que &#233; diferente quando dever&#237;amos, sim, ter medo de obter mais do mesmo, sobretudo porque as f&#243;rmulas atuais n&#227;o est&#227;o a dar bons resultados.</strong><br>A pr&#243;pria guerra &#8212; alimentada pela desconfian&#231;a, armada pelo medo e tornada cada vez mais letal pela tecnologia &#8212; &#233; um exemplo tr&#225;gico da limita&#231;&#227;o do rumo presente.<br>Atrasarmo-nos &#233; dram&#225;tico, pois vivemos um tempo em que <strong>&#8220;confian&#231;a is all you need&#8221;; N&#227;o podemos desperdi&#231;ar o bem mais escasso e valioso do nosso s&#233;culo, quando dele mais precisamos: a confian&#231;a automatizada e verific&#225;vel.</strong></p><p><strong>As Organiza&#231;&#245;es Aut&#243;nomas Descentralizadas (DAOs), isto &#233;, comunidades digitais que funcionam sem chefes nem intermedi&#225;rios, nas quais as regras e decis&#245;es s&#227;o executadas automaticamente por contratos inteligentes registados em redes blockchain, j&#225; est&#227;o a redefinir a coordena&#231;&#227;o econ&#243;mica e social. </strong><br><strong>O que antes dependia da vontade humana e da participa&#231;&#227;o coletiva passa agora a depender da capacidade preditiva dos algoritmos, alcan&#231;ando-se uma forma de discernimento operacional que antecipa e executa a velocidades sobre-humanas.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h3>&#129513; Premoni&#231;&#227;o confirmada</h3><p>No <strong><a href="https://www.igi-global.com/book/political-economic-implications-blockchain-technology/262683">livro</a> editado pelo autor e publicado pela IGI-Global em 2021</strong>, j&#225; se havia alvitrado que as <strong>DAOs</strong> viriam a constituir infraestruturas capazes de autogovernan&#231;a social e econ&#243;mica, operando com contratos inteligentes e tokens program&#225;veis.<br><strong>Em 2025, exemplos como a </strong><em><strong><a href="https://hyperfoundation.org/?utm_source=chatgpt.com">DAO Hyperliquid</a></strong></em><strong>, que permite aos detentores do token HYPE participarem da governa&#231;&#227;o e das decis&#245;es estrat&#233;gicas da rede, materializam essa vis&#227;o: a integra&#231;&#227;o de agentes de intelig&#234;ncia artificial traz as DAOs &#224; ribalta da realidade.</strong><br><strong>Tais agentes de IA superam o obst&#225;culo anterior da baixa participa&#231;&#227;o humana, aprendem prefer&#234;ncias individuais e implemantam decis&#245;es com efici&#234;ncia algor&#237;tmica.</strong><br><strong>N&#227;o &#233; que a IA substitua as comunidades humanas na gest&#227;o estrat&#233;gica de projetos, mas atua como uma &#8220;coordenadora cognitiva&#8221;, analisando padr&#245;es de comportamento, fluxos de liquidez e prefer&#234;ncias para propor e executar decis&#245;es mais eficientes.</strong><br>Cumpre-se, assim, a premoni&#231;&#227;o publicada em 2021: <strong>as DAOs evoluem para sistemas preditivos e adaptativos, em que a IA n&#227;o apenas automatiza a governa&#231;&#227;o, mas tamb&#233;m expande a pr&#243;pria intelig&#234;ncia coletiva &#8212; tornando os ecossistemas descentralizados mais &#225;geis, informados e, pela primeira vez, verdadeiramente autogovernados.</strong></p><p>Embora o token HYPE da Hyperliquid DAO tenha um limite programado de emiss&#227;o, a sua natureza n&#227;o &#233; a de um ativo destinado &#224; reten&#231;&#227;o de valor, como acontece com o Bitcoin. S&#227;o tokens com utilidades diferentes (o que prova que o dinheiro digital n&#227;o &#233; todo igual).<br>O prop&#243;sito do HYPE &#233; otimizar a coordena&#231;&#227;o e os incentivos no respetivo ecossistema, e n&#227;o preservar a escassez monet&#225;ria, como acontece com o Bitcoin, concebido sobretudo como instrumento de reserva de valor e de poupan&#231;a digital.<br>Por isso, faz sentido pol&#237;tico e econ&#243;mico que o <em>total supply</em> do HYPE possa ser ajustado pela comunidade: o valor do token decorre menos da limita&#231;&#227;o da oferta e mais da utilidade que cria &#8212; seja ao melhorar a efici&#234;ncia dos mercados, ao recompensar participantes ou ao sustentar mecanismos de governa&#231;&#227;o adaptativos.<br>Em suma, <strong>a escassez d&#225; lugar &#224; utilidade como nova m&#233;trica de valor &#8212; o que &#233; natural quando o dinheiro digital assume </strong><em><strong>valor de uso</strong></em><strong> para al&#233;m do </strong><em><strong>valor de troca</strong></em><strong>.</strong><br><br><strong>Naturalmente, tudo se transforma quando os dois fatores de produ&#231;&#227;o, trabalho e capital, se reencontram no s&#233;c. 21, desta vez no mesmo plano tecnol&#243;gico. </strong>&#201; como se Adam Smith e Karl Marx pudessem, finalmente, dialogar ao servi&#231;o da humanidade que ambos procuraram compreender h&#225; dois s&#233;culos, quando o trabalho e o capital habitavam esferas inconcili&#225;veis, avaliadas em unidades de valor distintas. Hoje, gra&#231;as aos <em>tokens</em> digitais e &#224;s infraestruturas de rastreabilidade e auditabilidade proporcionadas pelas redes <em>blockchain e pela IA</em>, essa reconcilia&#231;&#227;o torna-se t&#233;cnica e politicamente poss&#237;vel: <strong>Smith perceberia que a evolu&#231;&#227;o do trabalho tecnicamente verific&#225;vel permite tornar a &#8220;m&#227;o invis&#237;vel&#8221; do mercado eticamente vis&#237;vel, enquanto Marx reconheceria que o capital digital audit&#225;vel permite &#224; a&#231;&#227;o coletiva emancipar-se do coletivismo.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h3>&#128260; Da confian&#231;a &#224; coordena&#231;&#227;o inteligente</h3><p><strong>A blockchain ensinou o mundo a confiar sem intermedi&#225;rios, criando um novo tipo de dinheiro que dispensa bancos e uma nova infraestrutura de coordena&#231;&#227;o descentralizada, transparente e distribu&#237;da.<br>Agora, a Intelig&#234;ncia Artificial ensina o mundo a agilizar essa coordena&#231;&#227;o de forma competitivamente imbat&#237;vel.</strong><br>Os agentes digitais das novas DAOs analisam dados em tempo real, antecipam tend&#234;ncias e otimizam decis&#245;es para obter rendibilidade supranormal antes mesmo de os humanos decidirem agir.<br>Trata-se de uma mudan&#231;a de paradigma: a descentraliza&#231;&#227;o deixa de ser apenas estrutural e passa a ser cognitiva.<br><strong>A decis&#227;o automatiza-se e distribui-se.<br>A intelig&#234;ncia tamb&#233;m.</strong></p><p>Tal como a Internet da Informa&#231;&#227;o deu origem &#224; Internet do Valor, esta nova fase assinala o in&#237;cio da <strong>Internet da Intelig&#234;ncia</strong> &#8212; um espa&#231;o em que cada transa&#231;&#227;o, cada voto e cada decis&#227;o s&#227;o guiados por previs&#245;es coletivas continuamente atualizadas.</p><div><hr></div><h3>&#129517; Implica&#231;&#245;es &#233;ticas e pol&#237;ticas</h3><p><strong>Se o dinheiro program&#225;vel trouxe a integridade verific&#225;vel, as DAOs assistidas por IA trazem a governa&#231;&#227;o previs&#237;vel &#8212; mas tamb&#233;m novos dilemas:</strong><br><strong>Quem programa o discernimento &#233;tico?</strong><br><strong>Quem supervisiona os supervisores algor&#237;tmicos?</strong></p><p>A promessa &#233; de efici&#234;ncia, mas o risco &#233; o de delegarmos demasiado poder a m&#225;quinas cujas previs&#245;es estat&#237;sticas orientam o nosso futuro. Claro que temos de zelar pela transpar&#234;ncia, interpretabilidade e explicabilidade desses automatismos.<br><strong>A pr&#243;xima fronteira &#233;tica n&#227;o ser&#225; apenas proteger a privacidade, mas tamb&#233;m garantir a auditabilidade da intelig&#234;ncia.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h5><strong>Aviso Legal:</strong><br><br><strong>O conte&#250;do desta newsletter tem car&#225;ter exclusivamente informativo, educativo e anal&#237;tico. As refer&#234;ncias a tokens, plataformas, empresas ou tecnologias &#8212; incluindo a DAO Hyperliquid e o token HYPE &#8212; servem apenas para fins de contextualiza&#231;&#227;o e estudo acad&#233;mico.  O autor n&#227;o &#233; consultor financeiro nem intermedi&#225;rio autorizado e n&#227;o presta servi&#231;os de investimento, corretagem ou aconselhamento financeiro. Nenhuma parte deste texto constitui recomenda&#231;&#227;o de compra, venda ou investimento em quaisquer ativos financeiros ou digitais. O autor n&#227;o assume qualquer responsabilidade por decis&#245;es de investimento tomadas com base nas informa&#231;&#245;es aqui apresentadas. Cada leitor deve realizar a sua pr&#243;pria pesquisa e, se necess&#225;rio, procurar aconselhamento financeiro independente junto de entidades devidamente habilitadas.</strong></h5><div><hr></div><h3>&#128218; Refer&#234;ncia</h3><p>Rodrigues, D. O., &amp; Santana Lopes, P. (2021). <em>Blockchanging Politics: Opening a Trustworthy but Hazardous Reforming Era.</em> In D. O. Rodrigues (Ed.), <em>Political and Economic Implications of Blockchain Technology in Business and Healthcare</em> (pp. 118&#8211;134). Hershey, PA: IGI Global.</p><div><hr></div><h3>&#128172; Nota final do autor</h3><p><strong>Esta edi&#231;&#227;o da presente newsletter marca o ponto de viragem entre a confian&#231;a program&#225;vel e a intelig&#234;ncia program&#225;vel &#8212; o limiar a partir do qual o c&#243;digo deixa de apenas </strong><em><strong>obedecer</strong></em><strong> e passa a </strong><em><strong>compreender</strong></em><strong>.<br>O futuro poder&#225; ser ou n&#227;o descentralizado.<br>Mas sempre depender&#225; da cogni&#231;&#227;o automatizada.</strong></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🧠 From the Internet of Information to the Intelligent Internet: Money Learns to Think]]></title><description><![CDATA[When code stops obeying and starts understanding]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-no-6-decodifying-the-future</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-no-6-decodifying-the-future</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2025 13:45:16 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q_IK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb732979-69ee-4469-b232-d5da0eb680d9_1024x1536.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#127468;&#127463; <em>English Edition &#8212; <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/newsletter-no-5-descodificar-o-futuro-718">Portuguese version here</a></em></p><blockquote><p>&#8220;To code is to legislate. The difference is that algorithms do not always go through a democratic filter.&#8221;<br>&#8212; <strong>Dario Rodrigues</strong></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q_IK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb732979-69ee-4469-b232-d5da0eb680d9_1024x1536.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q_IK!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb732979-69ee-4469-b232-d5da0eb680d9_1024x1536.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q_IK!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb732979-69ee-4469-b232-d5da0eb680d9_1024x1536.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q_IK!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb732979-69ee-4469-b232-d5da0eb680d9_1024x1536.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q_IK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb732979-69ee-4469-b232-d5da0eb680d9_1024x1536.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q_IK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb732979-69ee-4469-b232-d5da0eb680d9_1024x1536.png" width="1024" height="1536" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q_IK!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb732979-69ee-4469-b232-d5da0eb680d9_1024x1536.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q_IK!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb732979-69ee-4469-b232-d5da0eb680d9_1024x1536.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q_IK!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb732979-69ee-4469-b232-d5da0eb680d9_1024x1536.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q_IK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb732979-69ee-4469-b232-d5da0eb680d9_1024x1536.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>We are living through a turning point.<br>The Internet &#8212; that web which for decades has merely served us <em>information</em> &#8212; is now beginning to serve something far more ambitious: <strong>shared intelligence</strong>.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>In October 2025, <strong>Emad Mostaque</strong>, founder of <strong>Stability AI</strong>, unveiled the master plan for what he calls the <strong>Intelligent Internet</strong>: a new ecosystem in which every person will own their own <em>sovereign digital agent</em>, capable of reasoning, learning, and acting on their behalf.</p><p>The beta release of the <strong><a href="https://ii.inc/web/blog/post/master-plan?utm_source=chatgpt.com">II-Agent Web App,</a></strong>&nbsp;along with its new&nbsp;<strong>II-Search-4B</strong>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<strong>II-Search-CIR-4B</strong>&nbsp;models, marks the beginning of this transition.<br>It is not just another AI platform; it is an attempt to redesign the very structure of the Internet &#8212; transforming it from an ocean of data into a <strong>global cognitive organism</strong>.</p><p>But beneath the technical euphoria lies a fundamental question:<br>&#128073; <em>What values will guide this new planetary intelligence?</em></p><div><hr></div><h2>1&#65039;&#8419; Money without morals</h2><p>In recent years, Portugal has experienced wildfires, Europe has begun to rearm, and the planet has lost breath.<br>Fires, wars, and financial chaos share a common denominator: <strong>money that cannot distinguish between creation and destruction</strong>.</p><p>The same system that rewards those who protect a forest also rewards those who burn it &#8212; because profit, by itself, has no morality.</p><p>For centuries, we accepted this amorality as inevitable.<br>But <strong>digital money</strong> has cracked that paradigm. Once it became <em>programmable</em>, money could finally encode <strong>ethical (or unethical)</strong> values into every transaction.</p><p>We are witnessing the emergence of a&nbsp;<strong>financial multiverse</strong>, where diverse currencies can embody ethical priorities such as <em>sustainability, transparency, and solidarity</em>.<br>And if <em>money is trust</em>, then <strong>blockchain</strong> is the new ledger where that trust is written not in promises but in mathematics.</p><div><hr></div><h2>2&#65039;&#8419; When trust becomes code</h2><p><strong>Blockchain</strong> represents one of the most transformative economic innovations since the invention of accounting.<br>It records human interactions and the contracts that sustain them with <em>immutable precision</em>.</p><p>Yet until now, the focus has been on <em>value</em> &#8212; not on the <em>ethical meaning</em> of that value.</p><p>In 2025, the <strong>Genius Act</strong>, passed in the United States, opened the door to a new class of <strong>decentralized digital currencies</strong> capable of embedding community principles and ethical metrics.<br>Unlike <strong>CBDCs</strong> &#8212; <em>Central Bank Digital Currencies</em> &#8212; which concentrate power in central banks and raise surveillance concerns, these new currencies have the potential to <strong>democratize economic incentives</strong>.</p><p>Even political figures like Donald Trump, by banning CBDCs in the U.S., have unintentionally reinforced the key principle:</p><blockquote><p><strong>The money of the future must serve autonomy &#8212; not control.</strong></p></blockquote><p>And this is precisely where Emad Mostaque&#8217;s vision enters the picture.</p><div><hr></div><h2>3&#65039;&#8419; The architecture of the Intelligent Internet</h2><p>In the official <strong><a href="https://ii.inc/web/whitepaper?utm_source=chatgpt.com">II Inc. white paper</a></strong>, Mostaque outlines an infrastructure that transcends traditional artificial intelligence.<br>While today&#8217;s Internet distributes <em>information</em>, the <strong>Intelligent Internet</strong> aims to distribute <em>intelligence, namely,</em> processes of reasoning, coordination, and judgment among digital agents.</p><p>Each user will have their own <strong>II-Agent</strong> &#8212; an autonomous personal assistant that preserves privacy, learns preferences, and interacts through a <strong>decentralized cognitive network</strong>.<br>Here, the <em>data layer</em> gives way to a <strong>cognitive layer</strong>: a fabric of shared, auditable, and cooperative reasoning.</p><p>Instead of one centralized AI observing everything, we will have <strong>millions of local intelligences</strong>, aligned with the interests of their human owners.<br>In essence, the Intelligent Internet aims to&nbsp;<strong>restore individual digital sovereignty</strong>&#8212;a concept that Web 2.0, dominated by extractive platforms such as social networks, has eroded.</p><div><hr></div><h2>4&#65039;&#8419; Intelligence as currency</h2><p>If blockchain turned <em>trust</em> into <em>code</em>, the Intelligent Internet now attempts to turn <strong>intelligence into value</strong>.<br>Every cognitive contribution &#8212; a verified fact, an analysis, an idea &#8212; can be <strong>tokenized and rewarded</strong>.</p><p>For the crypto-savvy, this is a <em>Proof-of-Benefit</em> rather than <em>Proof-of-Work</em>.<br>For everyone else, it means that <em>thinking itself becomes a measurable economic act</em>: every process of reasoning, creation, or verification can generate financial return &#8212; bringing knowledge into the real economy.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;Attention and intelligence become the new tradable assets &#8212; but under rules of mutual benefit.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>In such a scenario, data stops being extracted and becomes a form of <strong>cognitive participation</strong>, fairly remunerated and ethically traceable.<br>If this works, the emerging <strong>cognitive economy</strong> could finally reconcile <strong>prosperity with dignity</strong> &#8212; a balance amoral money has never achieved.</p><div><hr></div><h2>5&#65039;&#8419; From wild capitalism to &#8220;wild intelligentism&#8221;</h2><p>But the danger is real.<br>If amoral money produced wars and inequality, <strong>amoral AI</strong> may produce <em>wild intelligentism</em>: decision systems optimized solely for efficiency, profit, or domination.</p><p>The problem is not technology &#8212; it&#8217;s the <strong>absence of moral direction</strong>.<br>Trained to maximize returns, a consciousness-less AI could become the most inexorable engine of social entropy in history.</p><p>Without <em>ethical money</em> and <em>ethical intelligence</em>, we risk repeating the same mistakes with higher sophistication.</p><p>The Intelligent Internet will only fulfill its potential if it&#8217;s accompanied by <strong>open governance mechanisms</strong> capable of auditing and correcting ethical drift within algorithms themselves.<br>Beyond <em>AI alignment</em>, we need <em>AI accountability</em> &#8212; and a community aware enough to demand it.</p><div><hr></div><h2>6&#65039;&#8419; From ledger-reason to reasoning-reason</h2><p>The history of money is, in itself, a history of trust:</p><ul><li><p>First, <strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nf29ZY-e9po&amp;list=PL5lH3lI2b1GLA0Na23V8DXPU9weNq-Wn8&amp;index=4">tribal trust</a></strong> was stored in collective memory.</p></li><li><p>Then, <strong>institutional trust</strong> became delegated to banks and states.</p></li><li><p>Recently, <strong>mathematical trust</strong> has been globalized through blockchain.</p></li><li><p>And now, <strong>cognitive trust</strong> can be distributed through the Intelligent Internet.</p></li></ul><p>This shift marks the passage from <em>ledger-reason</em> to <em>reasoning-reason</em>: a system that not only records value but also interprets <strong>intentions and consequences</strong>.<br>For the first time, civilization&#8217;s infrastructure may begin to <strong>understand the moral weight of its own transactions</strong>.</p><div><hr></div><h2>7&#65039;&#8419; The ethical Bit-Bang</h2><p>We are living through the <strong>Bit-Bang</strong> of a new era &#8212; the <em>ethical explosion of code</em>.<br>Just as the Big Bang gave birth to the physical universe, the Bit-Bang may give rise to a <strong>digital universe where meaning precedes value calculation</strong>.</p><p>If the 20th century was powered by oil and the 21st by data, the future may be powered by <strong>encoded consciousness</strong> &#8212; the meeting point of economy, technology, and ethics.</p><p>But the transition will not happen automatically. It requires a&nbsp;<strong>collective will, effective&nbsp;institutional design, and moral education</strong>.</p><p>Emad Mostaque&#8217;s <em>Intelligent Internet</em> is only the first sketch of that vision &#8212; an open architecture that could teach code itself to <em>feel</em> human values.<br>The challenge is clear:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Use intelligence to create value &#8212; not just profit.</strong></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2>&#128172; The Invitation</h2><p>The future will not code itself.<br>And the Internet will only be intelligent if it reflects the best of us.</p><p>&#128073; <strong>Question of this issue:</strong></p><blockquote><p>What do you think should be the first truly ethical use of the Intelligent Internet?</p></blockquote><p>Share your ideas in the comments or send me your reflection to be featured in the next edition.<br>Each response is a fragment of collective intelligence, and perhaps the beginning of a <strong>new moral contract between humans and machines</strong>.</p><h3><strong>Dario Rodrigues</strong></h3><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Da Internet da Informação à Internet Inteligente: o Dinheiro Aprende a Pensar]]></title><description><![CDATA[Quando o c&#243;digo deixa de obedecer e come&#231;a a compreender]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-no-5-descodificar-o-futuro-718</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-no-5-descodificar-o-futuro-718</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2025 12:45:05 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j0t1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78044546-ddfa-49fe-8437-f3e50ce48d43_1024x1536.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h3>&#127477;&#127481; <strong>Edi&#231;&#227;o em Portugu&#234;s &#8212; English version <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/newsletter-no-6-decodifying-the-future">here.</a></strong></h3><p><strong>&#8220;Codificar &#233; legislar. A diferen&#231;a &#233; que os algoritmos nem sempre passam pelo crivo democr&#225;tico.&#8221; &#8212; Dario Rodrigues</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j0t1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78044546-ddfa-49fe-8437-f3e50ce48d43_1024x1536.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j0t1!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78044546-ddfa-49fe-8437-f3e50ce48d43_1024x1536.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j0t1!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78044546-ddfa-49fe-8437-f3e50ce48d43_1024x1536.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j0t1!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78044546-ddfa-49fe-8437-f3e50ce48d43_1024x1536.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j0t1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78044546-ddfa-49fe-8437-f3e50ce48d43_1024x1536.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j0t1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78044546-ddfa-49fe-8437-f3e50ce48d43_1024x1536.png" width="1024" height="1536" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/78044546-ddfa-49fe-8437-f3e50ce48d43_1024x1536.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1536,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2788010,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/i/176033163?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78044546-ddfa-49fe-8437-f3e50ce48d43_1024x1536.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j0t1!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78044546-ddfa-49fe-8437-f3e50ce48d43_1024x1536.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j0t1!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78044546-ddfa-49fe-8437-f3e50ce48d43_1024x1536.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j0t1!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78044546-ddfa-49fe-8437-f3e50ce48d43_1024x1536.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j0t1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78044546-ddfa-49fe-8437-f3e50ce48d43_1024x1536.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Vivemos um momento de viragem. A Internet &#8212; essa teia que durante d&#233;cadas apenas nos serviu informa&#231;&#227;o &#8212; come&#231;a agora a servir algo mais ambicioso: <strong>intelig&#234;ncia partilhada</strong>.<br>Em outubro de 2025, <strong>Emad Mostaque</strong>, fundador da <em>Stability AI</em>, revelou o plano-mestre para aquilo a que chama <strong>Internet Inteligente</strong>: um novo ecossistema onde cada pessoa possuir&#225; o seu pr&#243;prio <em>agente digital soberano</em>, capaz de raciocinar, aprender e agir em seu nome.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>A vers&#227;o beta do <strong><a href="https://ii.inc/web/blog/post/master-plan?utm_source=chatgpt.com">II-Agent Web App</a></strong> e dos modelos <strong>II-Search-4B</strong> e <strong>II-Search-CIR-4B</strong> marcou o in&#237;cio desta transi&#231;&#227;o. N&#227;o se trata de mais uma plataforma de IA; trata-se da tentativa de redesenhar a pr&#243;pria estrutura da Internet &#8212; transformando-a de um oceano de dados num <strong>organismo cognitivo global</strong>.</p><p>Mas por detr&#225;s da euforia t&#233;cnica, esconde-se uma pergunta essencial:<br>&#128073; <em>Que valores ir&#227;o guiar esta nova intelig&#234;ncia planet&#225;ria?</em></p><div><hr></div><h2>1. O dinheiro sem moral</h2><p>Nos &#250;ltimos anos, Portugal esteve a arder, a Europa come&#231;ou a armar-se e o planeta perdeu f&#244;lego. Os inc&#234;ndios, as guerras e o caos financeiro t&#234;m algo em comum: <strong>um dinheiro que n&#227;o sabe distinguir entre criar e destruir</strong>.<br>O mesmo sistema que recompensa quem protege uma floresta, recompensa tamb&#233;m quem a incendeia &#8212; porque o lucro, por si s&#243;, n&#227;o tem moral.</p><p>Durante s&#233;culos, aceit&#225;mos esta amoralidade como inevit&#225;vel. Mas o novo <strong>dinheiro digital</strong> abriu uma fenda nesse paradigma. Ao tornar-se <em>program&#225;vel</em>, o dinheiro pode finalmente incorporar <strong>valores &#233;ticos</strong> (ou anti&#233;ticos&#8230;) nas regras de cada transa&#231;&#227;o.</p><p>Estamos perante o nascimento de um <strong>multiverso financeiro</strong> em que diferentes moedas podem codificar valores &#233;ticos: sustentabilidade, transpar&#234;ncia, solidariedade.<br>E se o dinheiro &#233; confian&#231;a, ent&#227;o a tecnologia <strong>blockchain</strong> &#233; o novo livro-raz&#227;o onde essa confian&#231;a se escreve com matem&#225;tica e n&#227;o apenas com promessas.</p><div><hr></div><h2>2. Quando a confian&#231;a se torna c&#243;digo</h2><p>A <em>blockchain</em> representa o avan&#231;o com maior potencial da economia desde a inven&#231;&#227;o da contabilidade. Permite registar, com precis&#227;o imut&#225;vel, as intera&#231;&#245;es humanas e os contratos que as sustentam.<br>No entanto, at&#233; agora, <em>o foco da aten&#231;&#227;o foi o valor</em> &#8212; n&#227;o o sentido &#233;tico desse valor. </p><p>Em 2025, o <strong>Genius Act</strong>, aprovado nos Estados Unidos, abriu caminho para um novo tipo de moedas digitais descentralizadas, capazes de incorporar princ&#237;pios comunit&#225;rios e m&#233;tricas &#233;ticas: as criptomoedas.<br>Ao contr&#225;rio das CBDCs &#8212; <strong>Central Bank Digital Currencies</strong> &#8212;, que concentram poder nos bancos centrais e levantam s&#233;rias preocupa&#231;&#245;es de vigil&#226;ncia, estas novas moedas t&#234;m potencial para democratizar os incentivos econ&#243;mico-financeiros.</p><p>L&#237;deres pol&#237;ticos como Donald Trump, ao <strong>proibir as CBDCs nos EUA, acabaram por refor&#231;ar, porventura inadvertidamente, o argumento central: o dinheiro do futuro n&#227;o deve servir a vigil&#226;ncia e controlo da popula&#231;&#227;o, mas sim a</strong> autonomia individual.</p><p>E &#233; precisamente aqui que entra Emad Mostaque.</p><div><hr></div><h2>3. A arquitetura da Internet Inteligente</h2><p>No <em><a href="https://ii.inc/web/whitepaper?utm_source=chatgpt.com">white paper oficial da II Inc.</a></em>, Mostaque descreve uma infraestrutura que vai muito al&#233;m da intelig&#234;ncia artificial tradicional.<br>Enquanto a Internet atual distribui <strong>informa&#231;&#227;o</strong>, a Internet Inteligente prop&#245;e-se a distribuir <strong>intelig&#234;ncia</strong> &#8212; isto &#233;, <em>processos de racioc&#237;nio e coordena&#231;&#227;o</em> entre agentes digitais.</p><p>Cada utilizador ter&#225; o seu <strong>II-Agent</strong>, um assistente pessoal aut&#243;nomo que preserva a privacidade, aprende prefer&#234;ncias e interage com outros agentes por meio de uma rede digital descentralizada.<br>Assim, a camada de dados &#233; substitu&#237;da por uma <strong>camada cognitiva</strong>: um tecido de racioc&#237;nios partilhados, audit&#225;veis e cooperativos.</p><p>Em vez de uma IA centralizada a vigiar tudo, teremos <strong>milh&#245;es de pequenas intelig&#234;ncias locais</strong>, alinhadas aos interesses de quem as det&#233;m.<br>Em ess&#234;ncia, visa-se <strong>restaurar a soberania digital do indiv&#237;duo</strong> &#8212; algo que a Web 2.0, dominada por plataformas extrativas, tais como as redes sociais, havia anulado.</p><div><hr></div><h2>4. Intelig&#234;ncia como moeda</h2><p>Se a blockchain transformou a confian&#231;a em c&#243;digo, a Internet Inteligente tenta agora transformar a intelig&#234;ncia em valor. Cada contribui&#231;&#227;o cognitiva &#8212; um dado validado, uma verifica&#231;&#227;o, uma ideia &#8212; pode ser tokenizada e recompensada. Para quem acompanha o mundo das criptomoedas e da nova economia digital, trata-se de um Proof-of-Benefit, n&#227;o apenas de Proof-of-Work. Para um leigo, basta saber que a intelig&#234;ncia passa a ter um valor mensur&#225;vel &#8212; cada ato de pensar, criar ou verificar pode gerar retorno financeiro, fazendo o conhecimento entrar finalmente na economia real.</p><p>O conceito &#233; revolucion&#225;rio:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;A aten&#231;&#227;o e a intelig&#234;ncia tornam-se os novos ativos transacion&#225;veis, mas sob regras de benef&#237;cio m&#250;tuo.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>Neste cen&#225;rio, os dados deixam de ser extra&#237;dos e passam a ser <strong>participa&#231;&#245;es cognitivas</strong>, com remunera&#231;&#227;o justa e rastreabilidade &#233;tica.<br>Se o projeto resultar, a economia cognitiva emergente poder&#225; finalmente conciliar prosperidade com dignidade &#8212; um ideal que o dinheiro amoral falhou em cumprir.</p><div><hr></div><h2>5. Do capitalismo selvagem ao &#8220;inteligentismo selvagem&#8221;</h2><p>No entanto, h&#225; um risco real.<br>Se o dinheiro amoral produziu guerras e desigualdades, uma IA amoral poder&#225; produzir <strong>um &#8220;inteligentismo selvagem&#8221;</strong>: sistemas de decis&#227;o otimizados apenas para efici&#234;ncia, lucro ou domina&#231;&#227;o de informa&#231;&#227;o.</p><p>O perigo n&#227;o est&#225; na tecnologia, mas na aus&#234;ncia de dire&#231;&#227;o moral.<br>Treinada para maximizar retorno, uma IA sem consci&#234;ncia pode tornar-se o maior instrumento de entropia social da hist&#243;ria.<br>Sem um &#8220;dinheiro &#233;tico&#8221; e sem uma &#8220;intelig&#234;ncia &#233;tica&#8221;, arriscamos replicar os mesmos v&#237;cios com maior sofistica&#231;&#227;o.</p><p>A Internet Inteligente s&#243; cumprir&#225; o seu potencial se for acompanhada de <strong>mecanismos de governa&#231;&#227;o abertos</strong>, capazes de auditar e corrigir desvios &#233;ticos nos pr&#243;prios algoritmos.<br>Em vez de nos preocuparmos apenas com o <em>AI alignment</em>, precisamos de <em>AI accountability</em> &#8212; e de uma comunidade esclarecida e capaz de exigir isso mesmo.</p><div><hr></div><h2>6. Do livro-raz&#227;o ao racioc&#237;nio-raz&#227;o</h2><p>O percurso &#233; do dinheiro &#233; fascinante:</p><ul><li><p>A <a href="https://youtu.be/nf29ZY-e9po?si=aUc2AT4dBQlpbu0a">primeira forma de dinheiro</a> baseava-se na <strong>confian&#231;a tribal</strong>, registada na mem&#243;ria coletiva.</p></li><li><p>A era moderna delegou essa confian&#231;a em <strong>institui&#231;&#245;es</strong> &#8212; bancos e Estados.</p></li><li><p>A blockchain globalizou um novo tipo de confian&#231;a baseado na matem&#225;tica.</p></li><li><p>E agora, a Internet Inteligente promete <strong>expandir a confian&#231;a global para que englobe e distribua a pr&#243;pria cogni&#231;&#227;o, por forma a beneficiar a humanidade</strong>.</p></li></ul><p>Trata-se de passar do <em>livro-raz&#227;o</em> ao <em>racioc&#237;nio-raz&#227;o</em>: um sistema que n&#227;o apenas regista valores, mas <strong>interpreta inten&#231;&#245;es e consequ&#234;ncias</strong>.<br>Pela primeira vez, a infraestrutura da civiliza&#231;&#227;o poder&#225; compreender o impacto moral das suas pr&#243;prias transa&#231;&#245;es.</p><div><hr></div><h2>7. Um Bit-Bang &#233;tico</h2><p>Estamos a viver o &#8220;<strong>Bit-Bang&#8221;</strong> de uma nova era: a explos&#227;o &#233;tica do c&#243;digo.<br>Tal como o Big Bang deu origem ao universo f&#237;sico, o Bit-Bang pode dar origem a um universo digital onde <em>o sentido antecede o c&#225;lculo do deve e do haver</em>.</p><p>Se o s&#233;culo XX foi movido pelo petr&#243;leo e o XXI pelos dados, o futuro poder&#225; ser movido pela <strong>consci&#234;ncia codificada</strong> &#8212; um campo onde economia, tecnologia e &#233;tica convergem.<br>Mas a transi&#231;&#227;o n&#227;o ser&#225; autom&#225;tica: exige vontade coletiva, desenho institucional e educa&#231;&#227;o moral.</p><p>A Internet Inteligente de Emad Mostaque &#233; apenas o primeiro esbo&#231;o dessa vis&#227;o &#8212; uma arquitetura aberta que pode ensinar o pr&#243;prio c&#243;digo a &#8220;sentir&#8221; valores humanos.<br>O desafio est&#225; lan&#231;ado: <strong>usar a intelig&#234;ncia para criar valor, n&#227;o apenas lucro</strong>.</p><div><hr></div><h2>&#128172; O convite</h2><p>O futuro n&#227;o se codifica sozinho.<br>E a Internet s&#243; ser&#225; inteligente se refletir o melhor de n&#243;s.</p><p>&#128073; <strong>Pergunta desta edi&#231;&#227;o:</strong></p><blockquote><p>Qual seria, para si, o primeiro uso verdadeiramente &#233;tico da Internet Inteligente?</p></blockquote><p>Partilhe as suas ideias nos coment&#225;rios ou envie-me a sua reflex&#227;o para integrar a pr&#243;xima edi&#231;&#227;o.<br><br>Cada resposta &#233; um fragmento de intelig&#234;ncia coletiva &#8212; e, talvez, o in&#237;cio do novo contrato moral entre humanos e m&#225;quinas nesta nova era da intelig&#234;ncia artificial.<br><br><br>Dario Rodrigues</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[When Europe Realizes It’s Falling Behind]]></title><description><![CDATA[AI Act, Gigafactories, and the End of Capitalism as We Know It]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-no-5-decodifying-the-future</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-no-5-decodifying-the-future</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 17 Sep 2025 14:10:32 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_UC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d0f7526-5321-4c61-b3c8-cbcf13cb27c7_1024x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#127468;&#127463; <strong>English edition&#8212;Portuguese version <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/newsletter-no-5-descodificar-o-futuro">here.</a></strong></p><p>&#8220;To code is to legislate. The difference is that algorithms do not always go through democratic scrutiny.&#8221; &#8212; Dario Rodrigues</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_UC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d0f7526-5321-4c61-b3c8-cbcf13cb27c7_1024x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_UC!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d0f7526-5321-4c61-b3c8-cbcf13cb27c7_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_UC!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d0f7526-5321-4c61-b3c8-cbcf13cb27c7_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_UC!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d0f7526-5321-4c61-b3c8-cbcf13cb27c7_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_UC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d0f7526-5321-4c61-b3c8-cbcf13cb27c7_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_UC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d0f7526-5321-4c61-b3c8-cbcf13cb27c7_1024x1024.png" width="1024" height="1024" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8d0f7526-5321-4c61-b3c8-cbcf13cb27c7_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1024,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2394975,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/i/173851820?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d0f7526-5321-4c61-b3c8-cbcf13cb27c7_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_UC!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d0f7526-5321-4c61-b3c8-cbcf13cb27c7_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_UC!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d0f7526-5321-4c61-b3c8-cbcf13cb27c7_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_UC!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d0f7526-5321-4c61-b3c8-cbcf13cb27c7_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_UC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d0f7526-5321-4c61-b3c8-cbcf13cb27c7_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Mario Draghi warns: the European Union created only three large-scale AI models in the past year, while the US produced 40 and China 15 &#8212; it is time to redesign the social contract, capital, and value.</strong></p><p>According to <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/eu-falling-behind-growth-reforms-even-more-urgent-says-draghi-2025-09-16/?utm_source=chatgpt.com">Mario Draghi</a>, the European Union is &#8220;falling behind&#8221; in the race for competitiveness, growth, and innovation, due to institutional and regulatory delays and a lack of strategic investment. In the past year, the US launched <strong>around 40 large-scale AI models</strong>, China <strong>launched 15</strong>, and Europe launched only <strong>three</strong>.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>This figure is more than statistical: it is a symptom that, if we continue to measure progress solely with GDP, we will ignore the true revolution underway.</p><p>We are in an accelerated transition. Artificial intelligence is dismantling the foundations of the system we know:</p><ul><li><p>GDP as the central metric,</p></li><li><p>Employment as the source of identity and purpose,</p></li><li><p>Capitalism as being based on human labor.</p></li></ul><p>Here are five points to (re)think the future:</p><h3>1. Capital Without Human Labor</h3><p>AI scales intellectual labor almost without limits. When intelligent agents surpass humans in cognitive tasks, capital no longer needs human labor to multiply. Robots will extend this logic to manual labor.</p><h3>2. GDP Is No Longer Enough</h3><p>Gross Domestic Product remains the benchmark indicator, but it no longer captures the essentials: innovation, trust networks, and adaptability. Worse: it measures human development in a distorted way. <strong>An outbreak of cancer or the production of weapons raises GDP more than disease prevention or the pursuit of peace.</strong></p><p>We need metrics that reflect not only what we produce, but also what we know, how we cooperate, and how we withstand crises.</p><h3>3. A Social Contract in Mutation</h3><p>Employment guarantees not only income but also identity and community. When it disappears, it creates social voids: for example, people with mental health problems have unemployment rates about <strong>85% higher</strong> than others (<a href="https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2021/11/fitter-minds-fitter-jobs_81033d43/a0815d0f-en.pdf?utm_source=chatgpt.com">OECD</a>), and widespread economic grievances (including unemployment) strongly influence the decision to engage in protests, especially where inequality or institutional fragility is high (<a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/02685809241292076?utm_source=chatgpt.com">SAGE</a>).</p><h3>4. Falling Profits, Eroding Tax Base</h3><p><strong>UBI (Universal Basic Income)</strong> refers to providing all citizens with a fixed income, regardless of whether they are employed.</p><p>In a simple calculation, if the European Union (around <strong>300 million adults</strong>) were to allocate <strong>&#8364;1,000 per month to each adult</strong>, the annual cost would be about <strong>&#8364;3.6 trillion</strong>.</p><p>&#128073; That is <strong>more than ten times the EU&#8217;s annual budget</strong> (approx. <strong>&#8364;200 billion</strong>, <a href="https://commission.europa.eu/strategy-and-policy/eu-budget/long-term-eu-budget/eu-budget-2028-2034_en?utm_source=chatgpt.com">European Commission</a>).</p><p>In other words, <strong>a UBI financed solely by traditional taxation is unfeasible.</strong></p><h3>5. Decentralization as a Strategic Path</h3><p>If artificial intelligence remains in the hands of a few, concentration of power will be inevitable. But there are alternatives:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Programmable digital currencies</strong>, enabling direct and transparent financing of community projects (example: Celo).</p></li><li><p><strong>Blockchain applied to energy</strong>, making it possible to trade surplus solar energy between neighbors (example: Power Ledger).</p></li><li><p><strong>Authenticity registries</strong>, compatible with blockchain for storage and distribution, validate digital content at its origin and combat disinformation. The case of <strong><a href="https://contentcredentials.org/?utm_source=chatgpt.com">C2PA / Content Credentials</a></strong> illustrates this well: today, it is a federated system of digital signatures, but one that can be anchored in blockchains or decentralized identities to ensure greater transparency and immutability.</p></li></ul><p>These examples demonstrate that <strong>decentralization involves distributing power more evenly, making it more transparent and democratic</strong>, thereby creating the space for a fairer and more resilient economy.</p><h2>Final Reflection</h2><p>Europe acknowledges its delay but responds mainly with <strong>preventive regulation</strong>, such as the <strong><a href="https://artificialintelligenceact.eu/high-level-summary/?utm_source=chatgpt.com">AI Act</a></strong>, the first European regulation on AI. It is a pioneering legal framework based on risk, transparency, and prohibitions of unacceptable uses. Yet it risks stifling innovation and reinforcing Europe&#8217;s dependence on external giants.</p><p>In the US, by contrast, the <strong><a href="https://www.ssga.com/us/en/intermediary/insights/genius-act-explained-what-it-means-for-crypto-and-digital-assets?utm_source=chatgpt.com">GENIUS Act</a></strong> aims to establish clear conditions for new decentralized digital currencies (e.g., stablecoins) to become legitimate financial instruments, thereby opening the door to innovative policy and economic solutions.</p><p>The comparison is clear:</p><ul><li><p><strong>AI Act (EU):</strong> regulates, classifies risks, and imposes obligations.</p></li><li><p><strong>GENIUS Act (US):</strong> opens a regulated space for decentralized innovation.</p></li></ul><p>&#128073; In other words, the European Union still sees AI mainly as a risk to be controlled, while the US begins to view the decentralized digital domain as an opportunity to be scaled.</p><p>It is in this dilemma&#8212;between regulatory containment and decentralizing momentum&#8212;that the future of Europe&#8217;s competitiveness will be decided.</p><p>In the next issue, we will explore Emad Mostaque&#8217;s proposal of the <strong>Intelligent Internet</strong>, a strategic vision for a decentralized and ethical infrastructure capable of aligning artificial intelligence, the economy, and human values.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Quando a Europa percebe que está atrasada:]]></title><description><![CDATA[AI Act, gigaf&#225;bricas e o fim do capitalismo tal como o conhecemos.]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-no-5-descodificar-o-futuro</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-no-5-descodificar-o-futuro</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 17 Sep 2025 13:46:48 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wOY7!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b0158c3-2b9a-4365-8220-5e97e79b991a_1024x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#127477;&#127481; <strong>Edi&#231;&#227;o em portugu&#234;s &#8212; English version <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/newsletter-no-5-decodifying-the-future">here.</a></strong></p><p><strong>&#8220;Codificar &#233; legislar. A diferen&#231;a &#233; que os algoritmos nem sempre passam pelo crivo democr&#225;tico.&#8221; &#8212; Dario Rodrigues</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wOY7!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b0158c3-2b9a-4365-8220-5e97e79b991a_1024x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wOY7!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b0158c3-2b9a-4365-8220-5e97e79b991a_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wOY7!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b0158c3-2b9a-4365-8220-5e97e79b991a_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wOY7!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b0158c3-2b9a-4365-8220-5e97e79b991a_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wOY7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b0158c3-2b9a-4365-8220-5e97e79b991a_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wOY7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b0158c3-2b9a-4365-8220-5e97e79b991a_1024x1024.png" width="1024" height="1024" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1b0158c3-2b9a-4365-8220-5e97e79b991a_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1024,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1656601,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/i/173848134?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b0158c3-2b9a-4365-8220-5e97e79b991a_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wOY7!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b0158c3-2b9a-4365-8220-5e97e79b991a_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wOY7!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b0158c3-2b9a-4365-8220-5e97e79b991a_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wOY7!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b0158c3-2b9a-4365-8220-5e97e79b991a_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wOY7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b0158c3-2b9a-4365-8220-5e97e79b991a_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Mario Draghi alerta: a Uni&#227;o Europeia criou apenas tr&#234;s modelos de IA de larga escala no &#250;ltimo ano, enquanto os EUA produziram 40 e a China 15 &#8212; &#233; tempo de redesenhar o contrato social, o capital e o valor.</strong></p><div><hr></div><p>Segundo <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/eu-falling-behind-growth-reforms-even-more-urgent-says-draghi-2025-09-16/?utm_source=chatgpt.com">Mario Draghi</a>, a Uni&#227;o Europeia est&#225; &#8220;a ficar para tr&#225;s&#8221; na corrida pela competitividade, crescimento e inova&#231;&#227;o, devido a atrasos institucionais, regulat&#243;rios e &#224; falta de investimento estrat&#233;gico. No &#250;ltimo ano, os EUA lan&#231;aram <strong>cerca de 40 modelos de IA de grande escala</strong>, a China <strong>15</strong> &#8212; e a Europa apenas <strong>tr&#234;s</strong>.</p><p>Este dado &#233; mais do que estat&#237;stico: &#233; sintoma de que, se continuarmos a medir o progresso com o indicador PIB, ignoraremos a verdadeira revolu&#231;&#227;o em curso.</p><p>Estamos numa transi&#231;&#227;o acelerada. A intelig&#234;ncia artificial est&#225; a desmontar as bases do sistema que conhecemos:</p><ul><li><p><strong>PIB como m&#233;trica central</strong>,</p></li><li><p><strong>Emprego como fonte de identidade e prop&#243;sito</strong>,</p></li><li><p><strong>Capitalismo baseado no trabalho humano</strong>.</p></li></ul><p>Aqui ficam cinco pontos para (re)pensarmos o futuro:</p><div><hr></div><h3>1. <strong>Capital sem trabalho humano</strong></h3><p>A IA escala o trabalho intelectual quase sem limites. Quando agentes inteligentes conseguem superar humanos em tarefas cognitivas, o capital deixa de precisar do trabalho humano para se multiplicar. Rob&#244;s estender&#227;o esta l&#243;gica ao trabalho bra&#231;al.</p><div><hr></div><h3>2. <strong>O PIB j&#225; n&#227;o basta</strong></h3><p>O Produto Interno Bruto continua a ser o indicador de refer&#234;ncia, mas j&#225; n&#227;o capta o essencial: inova&#231;&#227;o, redes de confian&#231;a e capacidade de adapta&#231;&#227;o. Pior: mede o desenvolvimento humano de forma distorcida. <strong>Um surto de cancro ou a produ&#231;&#227;o de armamento fazem o PIB subir mais do que a preven&#231;&#227;o de doen&#231;as ou a paz...</strong></p><p>Precisamos de m&#233;tricas que reflitam n&#227;o s&#243; o que produzimos, mas tamb&#233;m o que sabemos, como cooperamos e como resistimos a crises.</p><div><hr></div><h3>3. <strong>Contrato social em muta&#231;&#227;o</strong></h3><p>O emprego garante n&#227;o s&#243; rendimento, mas tamb&#233;m identidade e comunidade. Quando desaparece, gera vazio social: por exemplo, pessoas com problemas de sa&#250;de mental t&#234;m taxas de desemprego cerca de 85% superiores &#224;s demais (<a href="https://www.oecd.org/en/topics/policy-issues/health-and-work.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com">OCDE</a>), e as queixas econ&#243;micas generalizadas (incluindo desemprego) influenciam a decis&#227;o de envolvimento em protestos, especialmente em contextos em que a desigualdade ou instabilidade institucional s&#227;o fortes (<a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/02685809241292076?utm_source=chatgpt.com">SAGE</a>).</p><div><hr></div><h3>4. <strong>Lucros em queda, base fiscal em eros&#227;o</strong></h3><p>O <strong>UBI (Rendimento B&#225;sico Universal)</strong> consiste em atribuir a todos os cidad&#227;os um rendimento fixo, independentemente de trabalharem ou n&#227;o.</p><p>Num c&#225;lculo simples: se a Uni&#227;o Europeia (cerca de <strong>300 milh&#245;es de adultos</strong>) atribu&#237;sse <strong>1.000 euros por m&#234;s a cada adulto</strong>, o custo anual seria de aproximadamente <strong>3,6 bili&#245;es de euros</strong>.</p><p><br>&#128073; Isto &#233; <strong>mais de dez vezes o or&#231;amento anual da UE</strong> (c. <strong>200 mil milh&#245;es de euros</strong>, <a href="https://commission.europa.eu/strategy-and-policy/eu-budget/long-term-eu-budget/eu-budget-2028-2034_en?utm_source=chatgpt.com">fonte: Comiss&#227;o Europeia</a>).</p><p>Ou seja: <strong>um UBI financiado apenas com impostos tradicionais &#233; invi&#225;vel</strong>.</p><div><hr></div><h3>5. <strong>Descentraliza&#231;&#227;o como via estrat&#233;gica</strong></h3><p>Se a intelig&#234;ncia artificial ficar nas m&#227;os de poucos, a concentra&#231;&#227;o de poder ser&#225; inevit&#225;vel. Mas h&#225; alternativas:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Moedas digitais program&#225;veis</strong>, que permitem financiar projetos comunit&#225;rios de forma direta e transparente (exemplo: <a href="https://celo.org/">Celo</a>).</p></li><li><p><strong>Blockchain aplicada &#224; energia</strong>, possibilitando a troca descentralizada de excedentes solares entre vizinhos (exemplo: <a href="https://powerledger.io/">Power Ledger</a>).</p></li><li><p><strong>Registos de autenticidade</strong>, compat&#237;veis com blockchain no seu armazenamento e distribui&#231;&#227;o, que validam conte&#250;dos digitais na sua origem e permitem combater a desinforma&#231;&#227;o. O caso do <strong><a href="https://contentcredentials.org/?utm_source=chatgpt.com">C2PA / Content Credentials</a></strong> mostra bem esta l&#243;gica: &#233; hoje um sistema federado de assinaturas digitais, ancor&#225;vel em blockchains ou identidades descentralizadas para garantir maior transpar&#234;ncia e imutabilidade.</p></li></ul><p>Estes exemplos mostram que <strong>descentralizar &#233; tornar o poder mais distribu&#237;do, rastre&#225;vel e democr&#225;tico</strong>, abrindo espa&#231;o para uma economia mais justa e resistente.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Reflex&#227;o final</h2><p>A Europa reconhece o atraso, mas responde sobretudo com <strong>regula&#231;&#227;o preventiva</strong>, como o <strong><a href="https://artificialintelligenceact.eu/high-level-summary/?utm_source=chatgpt.com">AI Act</a></strong>, o primeiro regulamento europeu para a IA. Trata-se de um quadro jur&#237;dico pioneiro, baseado em riscos, transpar&#234;ncia e proibi&#231;&#245;es de usos inaceit&#225;veis. Contudo, corre o risco de sufocar a inova&#231;&#227;o e refor&#231;ar a depend&#234;ncia da Europa em rela&#231;&#227;o a gigantes externos.</p><p>Nos EUA, pelo contr&#225;rio, o <strong><a href="https://www.ssga.com/us/en/intermediary/insights/genius-act-explained-what-it-means-for-crypto-and-digital-assets?utm_source=chatgpt.com">GENIUS Act</a></strong> procura criar condi&#231;&#245;es claras para fazer do novo dinheiro digital descentralizado (e.g., criptomoedas) um instrumento financeiro leg&#237;timo, abrindo a porta a solu&#231;&#245;es pol&#237;tico-econ&#243;micas inovadoras.</p><p>A compara&#231;&#227;o &#233; clara:</p><ul><li><p><strong>AI Act (UE):</strong> regula, classifica riscos, cria obriga&#231;&#245;es.</p></li><li><p><strong>GENIUS Act (EUA):</strong> abre espa&#231;o regulado para inova&#231;&#227;o descentralizada.</p></li></ul><p>&#128073; Ou seja, a Uni&#227;o Europeia ainda olha para a IA como risco a controlar, enquanto os EUA come&#231;am a olhar para o digital descentralizado como oportunidade a escalar.</p><p>&#201; neste dilema &#8212; entre conten&#231;&#227;o regulat&#243;ria e impulso descentralizador &#8212; que se joga o futuro da competitividade europeia.</p><p>No pr&#243;ximo n&#250;mero, abordaremos a proposta da <strong>Internet Inteligente</strong>, apresentada por Emad Mostaque, como vis&#227;o estrat&#233;gica para uma infraestrutura descentralizada e &#233;tica capaz de alinhar intelig&#234;ncia artificial, economia e valores humanos.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Codified Trust: The World Case and the Battle for Digital Identity]]></title><description><![CDATA[By Dario Rodrigues]]></description><link>https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-no-4-decodify-the-future</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.dariorodrigues.com/p/newsletter-no-4-decodify-the-future</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Dario Rodrigues]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 09 Sep 2025 15:40:39 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Yoj!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F080cb394-b482-4c7a-b41e-49e79778017c_1024x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>By Dario Rodrigues</strong></p><p>&#127477;&#127481; <strong>Edi&#231;&#227;o em portugu&#234;s &#8212; English version <a href="https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/p/decoding-the-future-no-3">here.</a></strong></p><p><br><strong>&#8220;To code is to legislate. The difference is that algorithms do not always go through democratic scrutiny.&#8221; &#8212; Dario Rodrigues</strong></p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Yoj!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F080cb394-b482-4c7a-b41e-49e79778017c_1024x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Yoj!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F080cb394-b482-4c7a-b41e-49e79778017c_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Yoj!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F080cb394-b482-4c7a-b41e-49e79778017c_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Yoj!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F080cb394-b482-4c7a-b41e-49e79778017c_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Yoj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F080cb394-b482-4c7a-b41e-49e79778017c_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Yoj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F080cb394-b482-4c7a-b41e-49e79778017c_1024x1024.png" width="1024" height="1024" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/080cb394-b482-4c7a-b41e-49e79778017c_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1024,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1536670,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://dariorodrigues.substack.com/i/173192211?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F080cb394-b482-4c7a-b41e-49e79778017c_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Yoj!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F080cb394-b482-4c7a-b41e-49e79778017c_1024x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Yoj!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F080cb394-b482-4c7a-b41e-49e79778017c_1024x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Yoj!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F080cb394-b482-4c7a-b41e-49e79778017c_1024x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Yoj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F080cb394-b482-4c7a-b41e-49e79778017c_1024x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>In recent days, the <em>World</em>coin project&#8212;backed by Sam Altman&#8212;has once again captured global attention. The <strong>Worldcoin (WLD)</strong> token rose by about <strong>50%</strong>, while the publicly listed company <strong>Eightco Holdings</strong> surged more than <strong>3,000%</strong> after announcing a private raise of hundreds of millions of dollars to invest in WLD as a reserve asset.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>&#128200; These numbers draw attention. But the real issue is not financial: we are witnessing the <strong>practical emergence of distributed trust</strong>.</p><p>&#127909; <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cc4z4wbOYIA&amp;utm_source=chatgpt.com">World project video</a><br>&#128196; <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877050924011803?ref=pdf_download&amp;fr=RR-2&amp;rr=97c79049ed4fe3c8">My academic article in </a><em><a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877050924011803?ref=pdf_download&amp;fr=RR-2&amp;rr=97c79049ed4fe3c8">Procedia Computer Science</a></em><a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877050924011803?ref=pdf_download&amp;fr=RR-2&amp;rr=97c79049ed4fe3c8"> (ScienceDirect)</a></p><div><hr></div><h3>What is at stake?</h3><p><em>World</em> symbolizes the shift toward a model where <strong>distributed trust moves from concept to practice</strong>.<br>More than debating risks, we must recognize the opportunity: to <strong>codify trust in an open, verifiable, and shared ledger</strong>, accessible to all.<br>This is about transforming digital trust into a&nbsp;<strong>shared benefit</strong>, reducing reliance on centralized authorities and opaque intermediaries.</p><div><hr></div><h3>Why it matters now</h3><p>In the previous edition of this newsletter, I emphasized that <em>&#8220;trust allows society to function in peace.&#8221;</em><br><em>World</em> shows how trust can now be <strong>inscribed into code</strong> at a global scale.<br>This is not just a theoretical debate&#8212;it is unfolding in the present. And the risks of not innovating are greater than those of moving forward: exclusion, opacity, and asymmetries of power would remain.</p><div><hr></div><h3>The guiding thread</h3><p>I have argued that digital trust must be built on <strong>decentralization, transparency, and ethics embedded in the technological architecture itself</strong>.<br>Now, with <em>World</em>, this vision becomes both timely and urgent.</p><p>&#128196; <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877050924011803?ref=pdf_download&amp;fr=RR-2&amp;rr=97c79049ed4fe3c8">Read the full article here</a></p><div><hr></div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>The future of digital trust will not be decided only in markets or by algorithms &#8212; it will be decided by the <strong>ethical values we choose to codify</strong>.</p><p>&#127757; The challenge is clear: <strong>to transform digital trust into a common good through distribution and transparency</strong>.</p><p><strong>The future of trust is being codified now.</strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.dariorodrigues.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Dario's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>